Home runs. Long balls. Bleacher reachers. Whatever you want to call them, people love watching and betting on home run props during baseball games. So much so, we’ve got a whole article dedicated to just that.
Here are my top three home run prop picks on DraftKings Sportsbook for Tuesday’s full slate: Pete Alonso, Bo Bichette, Seiya Suzuki.
Let’s break them down.
Best MLB Home Run Bets Today
| Best MLB Home Run Bets Today | Odds | Why I Like the Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | +306 | Erick Fedde has pitched better of late, yet he’s still surrendering 2.80 home runs per nine to opposing RHBs. As for Alonso, the $155 million man is enjoying his first campaign in Baltimore with 19 homers and a .224 ISO. He also owns a 98th percentile hard hit rate (54.0%). |
| Bo Bichette | +573 | In his 113 plate appearances since June 1, Bichette is slashing .324/.345/.552 with a .229 ISO and a 146 wRC+. On Tuesday, he’ll face former teammate Kevin Gausman, who has had a much worse month. RHBs have preyed on the veteran in his past five starts, as Gausman’s allowed those within the split to hit 3.86 home runs per nine with a .460 wOBA. |
| Seiya Suzuki | +257 | Suzuki has come alive in the month of June, slashing .310/.388/.560 with a 161 wRC+. He’ll draw an opposite-hand matchup against JP Sears, who conceded a league-high 92 home runs from 2022 to 2025. Sears is an extreme fly ball archetype — the exact type of pitcher who should dread an evening where the wind is blowing out of Wrigley Field. |
In-depth analysis below.
Top MLB Home Run Props Today
Pete Alonso 1+ Home Run (+306)
I can’t lie. I was expecting to look up Alonso’s career numbers off Erick Fedde and see that the slugging first baseman had at least a couple long balls off the veteran RHP. Instead, I discovered that Alonso hasn’t taken Fedde deep across 24 at-bats. Now, that’s not to suggest he hasn’t hit the 33-year-old well. In fact, Alonso is slashing .333/.469/.500 with four doubles in these meetings. Maybe today’s the day that the former Rookie of the Year breaks the long ball seal. The stats from 2026 support my lean. Fedde has pitched better of late, yet he’s still surrendering 2.80 home runs per nine to opposing RHBs. As for Alonso, the $155 million man is enjoying his first campaign in Baltimore with 19 homers and a .224 ISO. He also owns a 98th percentile hard hit rate (54.0%). He’s not been the problem at all in the Orioles’ underwhelming season.
Bo Bichette 1+ Home Run (+573)
Yesterday probably wasn’t the storybook ending that Bichette had envisioned for his time in Toronto. He went 0-for-4 has left a team high four runners on base. However, it was an emotional day. There was a lot going on. Now, Bichette’s moved past it, and it’s time to finish off his red-hot month of June with a flourish. In his 113 plate appearances since June 1, Bichette is slashing .324/.345/.552 with a .229 ISO and a 146 wRC+. On Tuesday, he’ll face former teammate Kevin Gausman, who happens to be having the opposite experience this month. To be frank, Gausman has been horrendous in his past five starts, registering a 7.62 ERA and a 6.18 FIP. Right-handed opponents have especially preyed on the veteran in this span, as Gausman’s allowed those within the split to hit 3.86 home runs per nine with a .460 wOBA. Woof.
Seiya Suzuki 1+ Home Run (+257)
Much like the aforementioned Bichette, Suzuki has come alive in the month of June, slashing .310/.388/.560 with a 161 wRC+. Heck, Suzuki juuuuuust missed a walk-off home run last night against Mason Miller (he had to settle for a walk-off single that bounced off the ivy). Tonight’s matchup will be a little easier. JP Sears will make his second start of the season for the Padres. If you’re wondering why the lefty had been in Triple-A for the first half of 2026, look no further than his stats from the past three seasons. In fact, from 2022 to 2025, no pitcher conceded more home runs than Sears, who gave up 92 across his 91 starts. Sears is an extreme fly ball archetype — the exact type of pitcher who should dread an evening where the wind is blowing out of Wrigley Field. Look for Suzuki to do some real damage in this matchup.
