Home runs. Long balls. Bleacher reachers. Whatever you want to call them, people love watching and betting on home run props during baseball games. So much so, we’ve got a whole article dedicated to just that.
Here are my top three home run prop picks on DraftKings Sportsbook to kick off the week for Monday’s slate: Brandon Lowe, Kyle Stowers and Pete Crow-Armstrong.
Let’s break them down.
Best MLB Home Run Bets Today
| Best MLB Home Run Bets Today | Odds | Why I Like the Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | +296 | Lowe’s .306 ISO against RHPs is the fifth-highest mark in baseball, one spot ahead of Yordan Alvarez (.304). That’s some pretty amazing company. Aaron Nola has given up multiple home runs in each of his past three starts. |
| Kyle Stowers | +314 | Sean Sullivan has faced 15 left-handed batters across the first three outings of his career, and they’ve combined to slash .357/.400/.929. Now Stowers and the Marlins will visit Coors Field. Since the beginning of 2025, Stowers sports a .264 ISO and an .899 OPS against right-handed pitching. |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | +315 | This game at Wrigley has a total of 11 on the DraftKings Sportsbook. You know what that means — the wind is blowing out tonight. LHBs have hit all eight home runs that Griffin Canning’s allowed in 2026, which has equated out to a .604 slugging percentage and a .428 wOBA within the split. PCA has 10 long balls in the month of June. |
In-depth analysis below.
Top MLB Home Run Props Today
Brandon Lowe 1+ Home Run (+296)
Few qualified hitters have done as much damage as Lowe this season when getting the opportunity to face right-handed pitching. In fact, Lowe’s .306 ISO within the split is the fifth-highest mark in baseball, one spot ahead of Yordan Alvarez (.304). That’s some pretty amazing company. The result? 20 home runs for Lowe as we inch towards the end of June, including two in his past four games. On Monday, Lowe and the rest of the Pirates will square-off with the struggling Aaron Nola, who is no stranger to the long ball in 2026. Not only has the veteran RHP surrendered a whopping 2.28 opponent home runs per nine to LHBs, but he’s also giving up multiple home runs in each of his past three starts. Things are not looking great for the 33-year-old hurler.
Kyle Stowers 1+ Home Run (+314)
It’s tough to find a Marlins player to back in this market. The team only has one man with double-digit home runs so far this season, Liam Hicks (13), and the backstop is currently on the IL with back issues. That said, I really want to find a way to exploit Sean Sullivan, who will be making the fourth start of his career on Monday. Sullivan has faced 15 left-handed batters across those first three outings, and they’ve combined to slash .357/.400/.929. I know it’s a small sample size, but when the slugging percentage is that high, you begin to take notice. Not to mention that this contest will be taking place at Coors Field. With all that said, let’s take a chance on Stowers. Since the beginning of 2025, Stowers sports a .264 ISO and an .899 OPS against right-handed pitching. His 2026 has been a little derailed by injury, yet there’s no question that he can hit at this level.
Pete Crow-Armstrong 1+ Home Run (+315)
This game at Wrigley has a total of 11 on the DraftKings Sportsbook. You know what that means — the wind is blowing out tonight. That’s great news for us, and really bad news for Griffin Canning. The Padres’ RHP doesn’t really need any more bad news, either. Tonight, Canning will make his first start since June 12, as he was recently relegated to the bullpen. For the season, over 42.2 innings, the veteran owns an inflated 7.38 ERA and a 5.42 FIP. His biggest issue? Left-handed bats. LHBs have hit all eight home runs that Canning’s allowed in 2026, which has equated out to a .604 slugging percentage and a .428 wOBA within the split. PCA is a lefty. PCA is on fire, too. Crow-Armstrong has 10 long balls in the month, along with an eye-popping 228 wRC+. I think he makes it 11 homers tonight. Maybe 12.
