Wednesday’s hitter board has a clean invitation: buy the bats already turning mistakes into extra bases. Each pick below needs only two total bases, allowing one double to finish the work immediately. Mike Trout’s revived barrel authority, Matt Olson’s left-on-left thump, Bryce Harper’s expected production, Max Muncy’s lift, and Shea Langeliers’ catcher-position violence all fit the assignment. Five plus-money prices, five hittable opposing profiles, and five hitters capable of making one centered baseball decisive.
Here’s how I’ll play it. I’ll be pumping out props and predictions for individual games all season, with plenty of coverage here on DraftKings Network. Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more betting plays.
Best MLB player prop bets today
Mike Trout 2+ Total Bases (+110)
Mike Trout enters Wednesday batting .243 with 14 home runs, 31 RBI, and an .897 OPS, though that average conceals the ferocity of his contact. His underlying profile has returned to superstar territory: a 91.2 mph average exit velocity, 49.3% hard-hit rate, 21.1% barrel rate, .423 xwOBA, and .580 xSLG. More than one-fifth of his batted balls have carried the exit velocity and launch-angle combination associated with the most damaging contact in baseball.
Michael Lorenzen offers exactly the opposing shape Trout should punish. The Rockies right-hander has allowed an 89.9 mph average exit velocity, 46.5% hard-hit rate, .374 xwOBA, .313 xBA, and .489 xSLG. His 7.22 ERA and 1.90 WHIP complete the picture: traffic, hittable pitches, and extended opportunities for the middle of an inning to reach Trout again.
The Angels star already has 14 home runs, yet this wager demands far less than another ball leaving Angel Stadium. Trout can cash it with one ball driven into a gap. His 108.7 mph, 420-foot homer against New York in April remains the emblem of this season’s return to impact. Against Lorenzen’s contact profile, Trout has Wednesday’s most attractive two-base runway.
Matt Olson 2+ Total Bases (+135)
Matt Olson arrives with the swing already warm. He went 2-for-4 Tuesday and broke a 3-3 tie with his 17th home run, lifting Atlanta past Toronto, 4-3. The homer moved him to 46 RBI, tied for third in the National League, while extending one of baseball’s most reliable power histories into another productive season.
The deeper numbers remain emphatic. Olson owns a 93.4 mph average exit velocity, 51.4% hard-hit rate, 15.5% barrel rate, and .382 xwOBA. A left-handed opponent rarely mutes that authority. Olson is slugging .520 against left-handed pitching this season, with 10 doubles and six home runs in 102 at-bats. He has continued to drive the ball for extra bases even without the platoon advantage.
Patrick Corbin has permitted a .357 xwOBA, .286 xBA, .471 xSLG, 89.7 mph average exit velocity, and 44.6% hard-hit rate. Atlanta’s current roster has seen him extensively, producing a .438 wOBA and .625 xSLG across 174 plate appearances. Olson sits at the center of that history, then receives a plus-money price after homering one night earlier. One pulled liner into Truist Park’s right-field corner cashes. Another elevated mistake may travel considerably farther.
Bryce Harper 2+ Total Bases (+120)
Bryce Harper changed Tuesday’s game with one swing. Philadelphia trailed San Diego, 2-0, when Harper hit his 14th home run, a two-run shot that erased the deficit in an eventual 3-2 Phillies victory. He enters Wednesday batting .262 with 14 home runs, 36 RBI, and an .882 OPS, carrying the kind of instant scoring threat this market rewards.
His expected production has been even sharper than the traditional line. Harper owns a .410 xwOBA, .290 xBA, and .566 xSLG, backed by an 89.5 mph average exit velocity and 42.1% hard-hit rate. The expected slugging number is the crucial mark here. Harper’s contact has deserved extra bases more frequently than his box score has fully returned.
Walker Buehler enters at 3-3 with a 4.88 ERA and 43 strikeouts. Philadelphia’s current roster has produced a .355 xwOBA and .473 xSLG in its history against him, a useful backdrop after Tuesday’s traffic finally turned into timely damage. Harper’s homer followed a Trea Turner single, while Brandon Marsh added four hits behind the same San Diego pitching staff.
At plus money, Harper does not need a repeat of Tuesday’s home run. One double clears the threshold. His bat has supplied enough lift, expected slugging, and present form to make two bases a sharp target again.
Max Muncy 2+ Total Bases (+120)
Max Muncy’s traditional line already carries enough punch: a .247 average, 14 home runs, 21 RBI, and an .855 OPS. His underlying contact makes the Wednesday price considerably more compelling. Muncy owns a 91.1 mph average exit velocity, 48.8% hard-hit rate, .393 xwOBA, .267 xBA, and .557 xSLG. His swing continues to produce the elevated, forceful contact that turns one plate appearance into two or four bases.
Zac Gallen has rarely resembled his cleanest form this season. Arizona’s right-hander enters at 3-4 with a 5.16 ERA and 42 strikeouts, while allowing a 90.8 mph average exit velocity, 45.2% hard-hit rate, .355 xwOBA, .290 xBA, and .478 xSLG. Those are not merely run-prevention problems. They describe a pitcher allowing the precise quality of contact Muncy is built to amplify.
Los Angeles scored six times Tuesday in Arizona, with Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman helping stretch the lineup around Muncy. That surrounding pressure matters because Gallen cannot simply navigate away from the left-handed power threat.
Muncy’s ticket lives on lift and impact. A double into Chase Field’s alleys is enough. A mistake left over the plate reaches the seats quickly. At +120, his expected slugging profile is priced too generously.
Shea Langeliers 2+ Total Bases (+100)
Shea Langeliers has quietly built one of the most forceful offensive lines at his position. The Athletics catcher enters batting .293 with 14 home runs, 30 RBI, and an OPS near .900. His Statcast foundation supports every bit of it: a 92.0 mph average exit velocity, 45.6% hard-hit rate, 14.8% barrel rate, .390 xwOBA, .289 xBA, and .554 xSLG.
That is substantial extra-base production from a catcher, and Wednesday gives him a welcoming matchup. Colin Rea has allowed a 91.2 mph average exit velocity, 44.3% hard-hit rate, .353 xwOBA, .271 xBA, and .482 xSLG. Rea enters with a 4.70 ERA, while his contact profile shows why power bats can get him even when he finds outs elsewhere.
Langeliers has already supplied 14 home runs through 53 games, including a grand slam in the season’s opening week and one of the year’s longest Athletics blasts in April. His season has been defined by true impact rather than a brief run of soft singles finding grass.
The Wrigley setting introduces its usual wind sensitivity, though the posted price still offers value for a hitter clearing this wager with one double. Langeliers does not require a run-scoring rally or a bullpen collapse. One pitch driven with his usual authority makes two total bases a reachable Wednesday target.
