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New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire prediction, pick for Tuesday 5/12/26

New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire prediction, pick for Tuesday 5/12/26

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By: DK.Network.Editors

There’s a bit of a lopsided matchup tonight, as the 2-0 New York Liberty take on the 0-1 Portland Fire. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. ET, with New York coming in as 12.5-point favorites and the total sitting at 174.5 on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Let’s get into it!


Liberty vs. Fire Preview

New York is 2-0 and doing damage with a shortened rotation. Ionescu is out with a foot injury, Satou Sabally has yet to debut, Rebecca Allen and Leonie Fiebich are unavailable, and the Liberty are still averaging 102 points per game. That’s not ideal for opposing teams to hear, and Breanna Stewart is the reason this offense doesn’t skip a beat. She’s at 54 points and 19 rebounds through two games, doing exactly what she does: scoring at all three levels, anchoring the defense, and making everyone else’s job easier just by being on the floor. When your best player plays like the best player in the league, roster absences become a lot more manageable.

Plus, the supporting cast has filled in well. Marine Johannes is shooting 11-of-22 from three to open the season, which is the kind of spacing that turns a difficult offensive possession into an open corner three. Pauline Astier has been sharp, and Jonquel Jones gives this team a legitimate interior presence that expands the options even further.

Portland is going through some early franchise growing pains, and it shows. The Fire lost their home opener to Chicago by 15, trailed by 13 at halftime, and while they rallied in the second half, they faded when it mattered. However, there are interesting pieces here. Carla Leite scored 18 in the opener and figures to carry a heavy offensive load early, while Bridget Carleton is the foundational piece of this roster for a reason. But right now, Portland is still figuring out the basics: how to run the offense, how to execute late, and how to play together at this level.

Liberty vs. Fire Pick, Best Bet

Even with Ionescu out and the rotation short, this Liberty team is built to generate efficient offense at volume. On the other side, Portland struggled to sustain offense for a full 40 minutes against Chicago. This should be a clear win for the current championship favorites.

Lean: New York Moneyline

Best Bet: New York Liberty -12.5 (-115)


This article was created with the assistance of generative AI and edited by a DraftKings Network writer.

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