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Best NBA player prop bets for Friday 4/10/26

Best NBA player prop bets for Friday 4/10/26

Published:

By: Griffin Wong

In case eight-, nine-, and 10-game slates weren’t enough, the final two games of the NBA’s 2025-26 regular season are here with a bang. All 30 teams will take the court as part of tonight’s 15-game offering.

Plenty of games have seeding implications. The Portland Trail Blazers and LA Clippers will face off in what could effectively decide the eighth seed, and the Toronto Raptors and Atlanta Hawks could both sew up top-six finishes in the East with wins. The New York Knicks can clinch the third seed with a win over Toronto.

With every team in the NBA in action, there are thousands of prop bets available at DraftKings Sportsbook. I’ve gone through them and broken down my three favorites.

Top NBA prop bet picks

Dominick Barlow 5+ Rebounds (-130)

While not every team will be trying to win tonight, making several games difficult to predict, the Philadelphia 76ers will be, as they’re currently tied with the Charlotte Hornets for the eighth seed and two games behind the Hawks and Raptors for the sixth seed. After three straight losses, the 76ers will require all hands on deck to stop their skid, so in addition to Tyrese Maxey, Paul George, and VJ Edgecombe playing heavy minutes, Barlow — who has emerged as a valuable oversized wing this season — will be needed for offensive rebounds. He’s had at least five boards in 31 of his 69 games, including seven of his last 12.

It’s also unclear who the Indiana Pacers will trot out, since they still need to lose at least one more game to ensure they finish with one of the three worst records in basketball, which would secure the best possible odds at the first overall pick and ensure that they have at least a 50% chance of keeping the top-four protected pick that they owe to the LA Clippers. Regardless of who suits up for Indiana, it’ll probably struggle on the boards; this season, it has snagged just 47.6% of all available rebounds, the second-worst mark in basketball.

Victor Wembanyama Double-Double (+101)

Wembanyama is questionable as he deals with the bruised rip that he suffered in a win over Philadelphia on Monday, but he still needs to play at least 20 minutes in one of the San Antonio Spurs’ two remaining games to ensure eligibility for season-long honors. It wouldn’t be a surprise for the likely Defensive Player of the Year to play less than 24 minutes and then check out, which is why his double-double odds are about as favorable as can be. Still, he’s had 41 double-doubles in 63 games, including six in his last seven contests, and on March 30, he had the third-fastest double-double in league history. He’s played fewer than 24 minutes in 11 games and recorded a double-double in five of them.

He should have a good opportunity for a quick double-double against the Dallas Mavericks, given that their struggles across the second half of the season. Since Rookie of the Year contender Cooper Flagg returned from a foot sprain on March 5, Dallas is just 4-15, giving up the sixth-most points and fourth-most rebounds per game across that span. The Mavericks attempt an above-average number of shots near the rim while converting at a below-average rate, which should allow Wembanyama to snag a lot of easy, close-range boards. He has notched a double-double in all three of his prior games against Dallas, playing fewer than 30 minutes in two of them.

Kawhi Leonard 29+ Points (-109)

Leonard’s job is simple: go all out tonight to help lead the Clippers to a victory, secure the eighth seed for his team and All-NBA eligibility for himself, then rest on Sunday in LA’s season finale. The Clippers wouldn’t be in this position at all without Leonard; they were just 6-21 on December 19, but they’ve gone 35-18 since (a 54-win pace across a full season) and Leonard has averaged 29.1 points per game in that span, reaching the 29-point mark 19 times in 47 games. Given the stakes of the game, his usage rate should be high.

To be fair, the Trail Blazers present a difficult test. Since the All-Star break, Portland ranks fourth in defensive rating, but its breakneck pace means it has allowed merely the 10th-fewest points to opponents. The Trail Blazers also have specific matchup weaknesses; they are extremely turnover-prone, allowing the most points off of turnovers, and Leonard ranks second league-wide in that stat. Jerami Grant’s absence won’t help; Leonard has had more success in his possessions against Toumani Camara than against Grant this season, though his sample size of possessions against Camara is thrice as large.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.