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Sporting Lisbon vs. Arsenal prediction, pick for Tuesday 4/7/26

Sporting Lisbon vs. Arsenal prediction, pick for Tuesday 4/7/26

Published:

By: Ciaran Doyle

The UEFA Champions League quarter-finals start on Tuesday as Arsenal will travel to Portugal to take on Sporting Lisbon.

Arsenal are -135 favorites on the moneyline, while a draw is available at +285. Fancy a Sporting Lisbon upset? They are +370 on the moneyline on DraftKings Sportsbook.

In terms of odds to advance to the semi-finals, the Gunners are a huge favorite at -650, while Sporting Lisbon are listed at +400.

Sporting Lisbon vs. Arsenal Prediction, Pick

It’s been a tough couple of weeks for Arsenal. First they lost the Carabao Cup final to Man City. Then, they were knocked out of the FA Cup in the quarter-finals against Championship side Southampton. Now they will look to avoid being eliminated in three straight competitions as they travel to face Sporting Lisbon in the first leg of this Champions League quarter-finals.

Despite a few disappointing results for the Gunners recently, I’m backing them to respond on Tuesday. This is still the same team that finished top of the League Phase table, winning all eight of their matches. They drew the first leg of the Round of 16 against Bayer Leverkusen, but got a comfortable 2-0 win in the second leg to advance. In total, they’ve won nine of their 10 UCL games this season, drawing one. Not bad.

Sporting Lisbon also had a successful League Phase campaign, finishing seventh in the table and guaranteeing themselves a spot in the Round of 16. They found themselves in a huge hole against Bodo/Glimt, trailing 3-0 after the first leg in Norway. The Portuguese side bounced back in a big way in the second leg at home, winning 3-0 in regulation to force extra time before ending up 5-0 winners and advancing to the quarter-finals. In total, they’ve won six of their 10 UCL games, drawing one and losing three.

These teams actually played each other in the League Phase of last season’s competition, with Arsenal winning 5-1 in Portugal. While I don’t see a result as lopsided as that on Tuesday, the Gunners should bounce back with yet another Champions League win.

Best Bet: Arsenal Moneyline (-135)

Ciaran has been an editor for the DraftKings Network team since 2023. He graduated from the University of Arizona before attending Arizona State University for his master’s degree in sports journalism. Ciaran previously covered Phoenix Rising FC for Cronkite News before joining DraftKings. He is passionate about sports betting, and his biggest focus has always been on the NFL and soccer. You can find him on X at @Ciaran_Doyle7.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ciarandoyle77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.