Matchweek 31 of Serie A concludes on Monday as Napoli takes on AC Milan in a game that sees third-place take on second.
Napoli are slight +150 favorites on the moneyline for this one on DraftKings Sportsbook, with a draw available at +190. Fancy an AC Milan win? They are +190 to pick up three points.
Napoli vs. AC Milan Prediction, Pick
For this bet to hit, we need Napoli to win the game. If it ends in a draw, the bet will void. As you can tell by the odds, this is a tough game to predict. Only a single point separates these teams in the table, and they are the only two realistic contenders who can possibly catch Inter Milan for the title with only eight games to go. A win in this one is crucial for both teams, as the loser will likely be out of the race. I’m giving the slight edge to the home team, as Napoli have stood their ground against AC Milan in Naples in recent matches.
Like most Serie A matchups, the common theme between these two teams in recent seasons has been the lack of goals. In each of the last five meetings between the sides, three or fewer goals have been scored. There is no value in taking the under, however, so I’m riding with Napoli. They have failed to lose each of their last four home games against AC Milan, winning two and drawing two. In terms of the overall matches, they have won three of the last four, losing one.
Napoli entered the international break in red-hot form, and I expect them to pick up where they left off on Monday. They had won four straight league games before the pause in action.
Despite a down season, Napoli are the defending champions and will not want to go out of this title race quietly. I expect a statement performance from them to keep themselves in the hunt.