The No. 10-ranked UFC Lightweight contender Renato Moicano is taking on the surging Chris Duncanis in the Main Event of tonight’s Fight Night. Although Duncan doesn’t have a number next to his name, he has won four fights in a row and is nearing being ranked.
Check out my best bet for Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan at tonight’s UFC Fight Night.
Under 2.5 Rounds (-140)
From November 2022 to September 2024, Moicano won four straight fights with three by finish and emerged as a top contender at 155 pounds. Now, Moicano has suffered back-to-back losses and is seeking his first victory since September 2024.
Duncan is 6-1 in his seven fights in the UFC and has submitted three of his last four opponents. If Duncan can extend his winning streak to five, it would be his longest since October 2020. Although Duncan is originally from Scotland, he trains at American Top Team in Coconut Creek, Florida, which is one of the best gyms in the sport.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, Duncan is the favorite in this matchup at -162, with Moicano being the underdog at +136. This fight has an over/under of 2.5 rounds, with the under being -140 and the over being +114.
On paper, Moicano has a one-inch height (5’11” vs. 5’10”) and a standing reach advantage (72″ vs. 71″) over Duncan. This fight is close on the feet, with Duncan averaging more significant strikes per minute while Moicano is better defensively and more efficient. Moicano and Duncan have both only been to the third round once in their previous five bouts.
