Home runs. Long balls. Bleacher reachers. Whatever you want to call them, people love watching and betting on home run props during baseball games. So much so, we’ve got a whole article dedicated to just that.
Here are my two top home run prop picks on DraftKings Sportsbook for Wednesday’s slate: Spencer Torkelson and Byron Buxton.
Let’s break them down.
Top MLB Home Run Props
Spencer Torkelson 1+ Home Run (+460)
This is a classic matchup where something’s gotta give — shoutout to Jack Nicholson and Amanda Peet. On the one hand, no one has hit fewer home runs as a team than the Tigers through the first week of the season, as Detroit has only found the seats a single time. On the other hand, Zac Gallen has been a long ball machine since the beginning of 2025. In fact, Gallen was one of eight pitchers to surrender at least 30 home runs last season, and he followed that up by allowing a bomb to Andy Pages on Opening Day. Interesting to note that Pages is a right-handed batter. Gallen actually pitched to reverse splits last year, with opposing RHBs averaging a whopping 1.71 home runs per nine. Figures like a 24th percentile opponent barrel rate (9.7%) and a 26th percentile opponent hard hit rate (43.0%) weren’t too great, either. I think the Tigers can take advantage of this matchup. Today’s the day the team breaks out of its power slump, and Torkelson will lead the charge. The former first-overall pick has hit 31 homers in twice in the past three seasons. His raw power is not in question.
Byron Buxton 1+ Home Run (+294)
Buxton has yet to go deep in 2026 after setting a new career-high for home runs in 2025 (35). Maybe that will change tonight in Kansas City. There’s a couple things to think about here. First and foremost, the new dimensions of Kauffman Stadium, which should mean getting long balls waaaaaay more frequently than we were getting in the past. Second, Buxton will draw a pretty tasty matchup with Noah Cameron on Wednesday night. Now, Cameron was more than solid last year in his rookie campaign, posting a 2.99 ERA across 138.1 innings. However, all of the 26-year-old’s ERA estimators were over a full-run higher, meaning some regression is likely on the horizon. He’s also just left-handed. Buxton feasts on southpaw pitchers. To wit, in 123 plate appearances within the split in 2025, Buxton slashed .306/.374/.676 with a .370 and a 178 wRC+. Among hitters with at least 100 PAs within the split, that ISO was the third-highest mark in baseball, trailing only Aaron Judge and Cal Raleigh. Decent company when we’re talking home run potential.
