One of the most exciting fighters in the UFC, Terrance McKinney, is back to take on Kyle Nelson in the opening bout of tonight’s Fight Night card. McKinney’s record sits at 17-8, and all 25 of his fights have ended via finish. Also, McKinney has only been in one third round in his MMA career. He is facing Kyle Nelson, who is 5-5-1 in the UFC and enters this fight off a win over Matt Frevola.
Check out my best bet below for Terrance McKinney vs. Kyle Nelson.
Terrance McKinney Round 1 (+110)
Nelson is 3-1 in his previous four bouts, with his lone loss coming in that period to Steve Garcia, who is a rising star at Featherweight. McKinney lost to Chris Duncan via first-round submission in his last fight, but won two straight before that. Since August 2023, McKinney is 4-2 in his last six bouts, with all six of them ending in the first round.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, McKinney is a -185 favorite with Nelson being +154 to win this contest. This fight’s total is at 1.5 rounds with the under being -270. This contest is -1600 to not go the distance and +700 to go the distance.
McKinney is an elite athlete who fights at a pace that is hard to keep up with. As soon as the fight begins, McKinney is immediately looking for the best way to pick up a finish. Most fighters like to feel each other out for a few minutes before implementing their game plan, but not McKinney. Although he may be reckless at times, McKinney is still a more complete fighter than Nelson is. McKinney lands more significant strikes (6.24 vs. 3.60) at a higher rate (56% vs. 45%) than Nelson. I’m taking McKinney to win this fight in the first round at +110.
