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Prediction, pick for Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan

Prediction, pick for Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan

Published:

By: Ryan Wohl

The second fight of today’s UFC Fight Night Main Card is a 185-pound bout featuring Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan. Dolidze, 37, is 15-4 with 11 finishes in his career and enters this fight off a loss. Meanwhile, CLD is 13-2 with 11 wins by finish and is riding a three-fight winning streak. Today’s UFC Main Card begins on Paramount+ at 4:00 p.m. ET.

Check out my best bet for Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan at today’s UFC Fight Night.

Christian Leroy Duncan To Win By KO/TKO/DQ (+130)

Dolidze is coming off a loss to Anthony Hernandez, which ended his previous three-fight winning streak. At 37 years old, Dolidze is in need of a victory to make another climb at 185 pounds. Leroy Duncan has had ups and downs in the UFC but is currently on his best run in the promotion. A victory over Dolidze would most likely give CLD a number next to his name on Tuesday.

CLD is a massive -455 favorite in this bout while Dolidze is the underdog at +350 on DraftKings Sportsbook. This fight is -130 to not go the distance and +100 to last the full 15 minutes. The over/under is set at 2.5 rounds, with the over at -130 and the under being +100.

Both fighters are strikers, but Leroy Duncan is better in each area on the feet. Leroy Duncan lands 4.60 significant strikes per minute, which is 1.19 more than Dolidze. Also, CLD is more effective as he lands significant strikes at a 17 percent higher rate. Leroy Duncan needs to be aware of Dolidze’s power, but if he can limit that, his path to victory becomes clearer. Since 10 of his 13 wins and four of his last five have come by knockout, it is best to get CLD to win by KO/TKO/DQ at +130.

Ryan Wohl

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.