After being at the Meta Apex, the UFC is back on the road and will host an event in London, England, on Saturday, March 21. This event is headlined by a Featherweight bout between two top contenders, No. 1 Movsar Evloev and No. 3 Lerone Murphy. Since this event is in London, the Prelims begin at 1:00 p.m. ET with the Main Card starting at 4:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+.
Check out my best bets for Saturday’s UFC Fight Night headlined by Evloev vs. Murphy.
Lerone Murphy Moneyline (+195)
After five consecutive decision victories, Lerone Murphy delivered one of the best performances of 2025 when he knocked out Aaron Pico in the first round. Now Murphy faces Movsar Evloev, who also has never suffered a loss in his career. Evloev returns after a 15-month layoff but beat Alajamain Sterling in his last fight.
In this fight, Evloev is the favorite at -238 while Murphy is a +195 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook. This fight is -275 to go the distance and +200 to end before the allotted 25 minutes expires.
When breaking down this fight, it is a lot closer than the odds suggest. Murphy is the better striker and has the physical advantages. Murphy is taller (5’9″ vs. 5’7″) with a standing reach advantage (73″ vs. 72″). “The Miracle” does his best work on the feet, averaging 4.48 significant strikes per minute at a 53 percent rate. Evloev excels on the ground, but Murphy has experience there as well, even though he isn’t as skilled. With Murphy’s tremendous striking ability, while having the edge in height and reach, he has the tools to pull off the upset in this contest.
Christian Leroy Duncan To Win By KO/TKO/DQ (+130)
Christian Leroy Duncan is facing Roman Dolidze in a three-round middleweight contest on this card. Dolidze is the best opponent that CLD has faced in his career so far. But after scoring two straight knockouts in 2025, Leroy Duncan seems primed for a big 2026 as well. CLD is 5-1 in his previous six fights in the UFC, while Dolidze is coming off a loss to Anthony Hernandez. Before his recent loss, Dolidze won three straight contests.
Leroy Duncan is a -440 favorite with Dolidze being a +340 underdog in this fight on DraftKings Sportsbook. Both fighters are pretty one-dimensional as they are primarily strikers. When looking deeper at this matchup, it isn’t very close. CLD averages 1.19 more significant strikes per minute while being 17 percent more accurate. Also defensively, Leroy Duncan absorbs 0.75 fewer significant strikes. Seven of Leroy Duncan’s previous eight wins have come by knockout. With that being the case, my favorite play for this bout is taking CLD to win by KO/TKO/DQ at +130.
