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2026 Miami Open Preview: Men’s and Women’s Singles Picks, Predictions

2026 Miami Open Preview: Men’s and Women’s Singles Picks, Predictions

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By: Blake Krass

The Miami Open is one of the best tennis tournaments of the year. Following an incredible Indian Wells Open, the best players in the world are flying from California to Florida for this event.

These are my Miami Open best bets to target on DraftKings Sportsbook in the futures market.

2026 Miami Open Odds: Men’s Singles

The best non-major stretch of the tennis calendar continues with the Miami Open. The second-half of the Sunshine Double will hopefully match the electricity that Indian Wells had. Jannik Sinner got his 2026 season going with the title at Indian Wells. Sinner missed out on the Miami Open last year while surviving a suspension, but he won here in 2024, the last time he participated in the tournament. Last year’s Miami Open was wide open. Not only was Sinner out with an injury, but Carlos Alcaraz was shockingly upset in the Round of 64. Jakub Mensik took advantage of the big two being out and went on to win the title.

The big news this year is that Novak Djokovic will miss the tournament due to an injury sustained at Indian Wells. However, Sinner and Alcaraz, as always, will be the men to beat. It’s hard to imagine either of those two getting bounced early, and they could end up seeing each other in the final. There is no real value on either of them to win, so my favorite men’s future bet does not come in the winners market.

My best future bet for the Miami Open is on Arthur Fils to win the 2nd Quarter and make the semifinals. This is the quarter of the bracket that would normally be headlined by Novak Djokovic. However, his absence makes this a wide-open race. Alex de Minaur and Tommy Paul are the two favorites to win the quarter, but Fils and Lorenzo Musetti are not far behind. Arthur Fils is my pick for multiple reasons. Alex de Minaur has never made it past the fourth round in Miami. He has also struggled lately, getting bounced from Indian Wells in the Round of 32. Tommy Paul falls into the same boat of never making it past the fourth round in Miami and losing in the Round of 32 at Indian Wells.

Arthur Fils is a rising star. The 21-year-old Frenchman is coming off a good showing at Indian Wells. He made it to the quarterfinals before losing to World No. 4 Alexander Zverev. He also made it to the Qatar Open final earlier this year. Fils had a strong showing in Miami last year, making it to the quarterfinals in just his second-ever Miami Open. He lost to the eventual champion, Jakub Mensik. Fils is a player on the rise, and I’ll back him to make it to the semifinals this year out of this wide-open quarter of the bracket.

Best Bet: Arthur Fils to Win 2nd Quarter (make semi-finals) (+550)

2026 Miami Open Odds: Women’s Singles

On the women’s side, Aryna Sabalenka is coming off a huge win at Indian Wells. She cemented her spot as the best women’s player in the world after Elena Rybakina had taken her down in the Australian Open. Not only is Sabalenka the World No. 1 and coming off a win at Indian Wells, but she is also the defending champion here in Miami. She is the clear woman to beat. The way that Rybakina has been playing, she is also the clear top challenger to Sabalenka. However, my best bet on the women’s side comes a bit further down the odds board.

I’m backing Jessica Pegula at +1000 to win the Miami Open. Pegula has been playing great tennis over the past few months. So far this year, she has made the quarterfinals at Indian Wells, the semifinals at the Brisbane International, the semifinals at the Australian Open, and won the Dubai Tennis Championships. She is in great form and this is a venue where she feels very comfortable. Pegula lives and trains in Boca Raton, Florida, less than an hour away from Miami. Pegula has also played great at this tournament over the past few years. She has made at least the quarterfinals in each of the past four tournaments, including two semifinal exits and making the final last year against Aryna Sabalenka.

Pegula was just one win away from this title last year, and she has a great chance to compete for the title again. She is playing some of the best tennis of her career and is at what is virtually her home venue. This is a great chance for Pegula to add a significant piece of hardware to her trophy cabinet.

Best Bet: Jessica Pegula (+1000)


Winner Specials

The following “Winner Specials” markets are available on DraftKings Sportsbook for both the men’s and women’s brackets ahead of the tournament!

Men’s Winner Specials

The winner specials on the men’s side all reflect how dominant Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz are. However, the best bet to target here would be on any American player to reach the final. Sinner is the man to beat here. He won the last time he participated in the Miami Open, and he has made three of the past four finals in which he has participated in the tournament. While Alcaraz has a title here, he has also only made the final that one time. Among the top American men, only Frances Tiafoe is in Jannik Sinner’s quadrant of the bracket.

Even taking into account how tough Carlos Alcaraz is to beat, Taylor Fritz is the only top American in his quadrant. Even if Fritz or Tiafoe can’t pull off the upset to take out one of the big two, there are clear paths to the semifinals for other American men. In Alexander Zverev’s quadrant, he might have to get past three Americans to make the final. Brandon Nakashima, Learner Tien and Ben Shelton are all in his path. There is a great chance for one of those Americans to get through that quadrant to the semifinals.

The final quadrant is the most wide open, as it’s where Novak Djokovic would normally be. Tommy Paul has the second-best odds to make it out of that quadrant to the semifinal, behind only Alex de Minaur. Between Tommy Paul, the three young Americans in Zverev’s bracket and Taylor Fritz, there is a great chance for at least one American man to make the semifinals. From there, any one of them would have a chance at winning two more matches and securing the title. A young up-and-comer, Jakub Mensik, won the title last year. This could be the chance for a young American to do the same this year.

Blake Krass has contributed to DraftKings since 2024, and is a content creator with a specialty in sports betting. Blake primarily focuses on college football and NFL coverage but will also be covering college basketball, the NBA, MLB and more. Prior to arriving at DK, Blake was a sports betting writer for The Action Network.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.