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Arsenal vs. Bayer Leverkusen prediction, pick for Tuesday 3/17/26

Arsenal vs. Bayer Leverkusen prediction, pick for Tuesday 3/17/26

Published:

By: Ciaran Doyle

The UEFA Champions League Round of 16 continues as Bayer Leverkusen will travel to England to take on Arsenal on Tuesday.

The first leg wasn’t the most entertaining game you’ve ever seen, but a late Kai Havertz penalty means that we go back to London all square at 1-1 on aggregate.

Arsenal are -350 favorites on the moneyline, while a draw is available at +475. Fancy a Leverkusen upset? They are +900 on the moneyline on DraftKings Sportsbook.

In terms of odds to advance to the quarterfinals, the Gunners are a huge favorite at -750, while Leverkusen are listed at +475.

Arsenal vs. Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, Pick

This bet can be found under the “Match Parlays” tab. As mentioned previously, the first leg of this Round of 16 clash was not a great watch. Both sides canceled each other out for most of the game, and chances were few and far between. That’s been the case for Arsenal a lot this season, as their defensive brilliance allows them to win boring affairs on many occasions. I expect a similar type of game in the second leg, but the Gunners should find a way to win this one in front of their home fans.

Three or fewer goals have been scored in five of Arsenal’s nine Champions League games in this campaign, while this under has hit in eight of Leverkusen’s 11 games.

The first leg gives me a lot of confidence that it will be another low-scoring affair. If you look at the statistics for the game, there were only five total shots on goal between both teams. The expected goals were low as well, with both sides finishing under 1.85. Arsenal’s xG was slightly inflated due to the fact that they received a penalty.

Expect another low-scoring, cagey affair on Tuesday. Ultimately, the Gunners will advance to the quarterfinals and I think they will do so within the 90 minutes.

Best Bet: Arsenal Win and Under 3.5 (-120)

Ciaran has been an editor for the DraftKings Network team since 2023. He graduated from the University of Arizona before attending Arizona State University for his master’s degree in sports journalism. Ciaran previously covered Phoenix Rising FC for Cronkite News before joining DraftKings. He is passionate about sports betting, and his biggest focus has always been on the NFL and soccer. You can find him on X at @Ciaran_Doyle7.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ciarandoyle77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.