Sunday presents an eight-game NBA slate. Let’s take a look at three of my favorite player prop bets for Sunday’s slate on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Top NBA player prop bets
Jakob Poeltl U 7.5 Rebounds (+109)
Poeltl missed over a month of action due to a back strain and the injury appears to still be affecting his play. In his nine games since the All-Star break, Poeltl is logging 26.3 minutes per game, but he is only averaging 6.3 rebounds per game while handling a 14.6% rebound percentage, which is low for the big man. Before the All-Star break, Poeltl was seeing a 17.6% rebound percentage.
Poeltl has stayed under 7.5 rebounds in six of his nine starts since the All-Star break and Sunday presents a tough matchup vs. the Pistons, who rank second in defensive rating and are allowing the third-fewest rebounds per game this season. Poeltl only grabbed six rebounds when he faced Detroit last month and a similar performance is possible Sunday.
James Harden U 20.5 Points (-125)
Playing alongside Donovan Mitchell in Cleveland, Harden doesn’t have to put up big numbers as a scorer for the Cavaliers to be successful. These two guards have played 11 games together and in those contests, Harden is averaging 19.9 PPG and he has fallen short of 20.5 points in eight of these contests.
With the Cavaliers, Harden is handling a 23.4% usage rate, which is a big drop from the 31.2% usage rate he saw with the Clippers before getting traded to Cleveland. The Cavaliers are facing the Mavericks for the second game in a row Sunday and in the first matchup, Harden scored 17 points across 28 minutes in the 138-105 rout by Cleveland. The Cavaliers are a 15.5-point favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook for Sunday’s rematch and Harden seeing limited minutes in another blowout is a likely outcome.
Deni Avdija U 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (+138)
Avdija has been cold from deep since returning from a six-game absence due to a back injury. In his first three starts back, Avdija is 2-of-11 from beyond the arc, resulting in a putrid 18% three-point percentage. The forward has failed to hit a trey in two of these three games.
Avdija is in an average spot for outside shooters Sunday vs. the 76ers – they rank 15th in opponent three-point percentage this season – and at these +138 odds, he is a very attractive bet for under 1.5 made three-pointers.
