Tonight’s UFC Fight Night Prelims feature a Bantamweight contest between Elijah Smith vs. SuYoung You. You is 3-0 in the UFC while Smith is 2-0 in the promotion. Smith is 9-1 with six finishes and appears to have a bright future in the UFC at only 23 years old. The Prelims for this event begin at 5:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+.
Check out my best bet below for Elijah Smith vs. SuYoung You at tonight’s UFC Fight Night.
Elijah Smith To Win by Decision (+100)
In this fight, Smith has major physical advantages, as he is three inches taller (5’9″ vs. 5’6″) and has a six-inch edge in standing reach (71″ vs. 65′). Both fighters in this bout are versatile, but Smith’s skills are more advanced. Smith averages 2.17 more shots per minute (4.45 vs. 2.28) while being the more efficient striker (47% vs. 46%). You lands slightly more takedowns per 15 minutes (3.80 vs. 3.51), but Smith has better takedown accuracy (53% vs. 47%).
On DraftKings Sportsbook, Smith is a -285 favorite, with You being the underdog at +230. This fight has an over-under of 2.5 rounds, with the over being -260. Smith is +250 to pick up a finish, while You is +750 in this matchup to win by knockout or submission.
Although Smith is coming off a first-round knockout, before that he won two fights by decison. You is an experienced fighter with nine more fights in his career and will likely be tough for Smith to finish. In You’s 19-fight career, he only has one loss by knockout or submission. Getting Smith at +100 to win on the judges’ scorecards is an excellent value play since he is a big favorite.