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Picks, Best Bets for UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos

Picks, Best Bets for UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos

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By: Ryan Wohl

Josh Emmett takes on Kevin Vallejos in the Main Event of Saturday’s UFC Fight Night. This week’s UFC Fight Night is taking place at the Meta Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, and airs on Paramount+ beginning with the Prelims at 5:00 p.m. ET.

Check out my best bets for Saturday’s UFC Fight Night headlined by Emmett vs. Vallejos.

Kevin Vallejos To Win By KO/TKO/DQ (-110)

Kevin Vallejos is 17-1 in 14 finishes and looks like a future title challenger. He has won six straight fights and has won four bouts by knockout in that span. Both fighters do their best work on the feet, giving Vallejos a major advantage. Emmett is powerful but lacks the consistency needed to keep up with the elite fighters.

On DraftKings Sportsbook, Vallejos is a -550 favorite with Emmett being a +410 underdog in this contest. Vallejos is the better athlete in this bout, which should allow him to dictate the pace of the fight. If Vallejos pressures Emmett, he should be able to wear him down with his speed and accuracy, eventually scoring a knockout.

Marwan Rahiki to win by KO/TKO/DQ (+120)

Marwan Rahiki has started his MMA career 7-0, with six coming by submission or knockout. In this fight, the 23-year-old is a -265 favorite while Hardwick is the underdog at +215. This fight has an over/under of 1.5 rounds, with the over being -175.

Rahiki beat Ananias Mulumba on Dana White’s Contender Series in October 2025. His opponent, Hardwick, lost to Kauê Fernandes via first-round knockout. Before that, he was on a nine-fight unbeaten streak, and it was his first loss since September 2020. If Rahiki can keep this a striking battle on the feet, it will heavily favor him. Since Rahiki is a big favorite, getting him at +120 to win by KO/TKO/DQ is an excellent value play. He has won six of his seven fights by knockout and has never gone the distance in his career.

Ryan Wohl

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.