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Prediction, pick for Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson at UFC 326

Prediction, pick for Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson at UFC 326

Published:

By: Ryan Wohl

Two entertaining veteran Lightweights, Drew Dober and Michael Johnson, are facing off in the second fight of the UFC 326 Main Card. Johnson has won three consecutive fights, his longest winning streak since 2015, while knocking out Kyle Prepolec in his last bout.

Check out my best bet for Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson at tonight’s UFC 326 numbered event.

Michael Johnson Moneyline (-118)

Even though Johnson is 39 years old, you wouldn’t know it by his recent performances. In his last fight at UFC 318 in July 2025, Johnson scored a unanimous decison victory over Daniel Zellhuber. Johnson’s last loss came against Diego Ferreira in May 2023. Meanwhile, Dober is coming off his first victory in two years. In the UFC, Dober is 14-11, but one thing is for sure: when he fights, an exciting contest is guaranteed.

Johnson is a -118 favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook while Dober is a -102 underdog. The over/under is set at 1.5 rounds, with the over being -1215 and the under being +165. Dober is +175 to win by finish, while Johnson is +250 to score a win via knockout or submission.

Dober is an incredible finisher, with 19 career wins, but his questionable decision-making and reckless style have held him back at times. In this matchup, Dober is a slightly better striker, landing more significant strikes per minute (4.52 vs. 4.28) at a higher rate (41% vs. 39%). But as I previously mentioned, Dober isn’t the best defensively, and it could cost him if Johnson is the more calculated fighter in this bout.

Ryan is a University of Arizona graduate and Philadelphia native. Since 2024, he has been a writer for DraftKings Network, primarily covering combat sports. He is a big Philly sports fan and loves to collect sneakers, as well.
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