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Picks, Best Bets for UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2

Picks, Best Bets for UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2

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By: Ryan Wohl

The UFC’s 2026 schedule continues in Las Vegas, Nevada, for their next numbered event, UFC 326, headlined by Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 for the BMF title. No. 7 Caio Borralho faces No. 8 Reinier de Ridder in a high-stakes Middleweight bout in the co-main event. The UFC 326 Main Card begins on Paramount+ at 9:00 p.m. ET, and the event can also be viewed on CBS from 8:00 p.m. ET to 10:00 p.m. ET.

Check out my best bets for Saturday’s UFC 326 event below.

Max Holloway To Win By Decision (+200)

In their first fight in 2015, Holloway defeated Oliveira by first-round knockout. 11 years later, both fighters enter this fight with historic legacies and are former UFC Undisputed titleholders. Since their first bout, Holloway is 13-5 while “Do Bronx” has a 16-6 record in that span. Holloway has won four of his previous five fights, with his latest coming against Dustin Poirier in his final fight in July 2025. Oliveira beat Mateusz Gamrot in his last outing via second-round submission in October 2025.

On DraftKings Sportsbook, Holloway is the favorite at -220 while Oliveira is the underdog at +170. Although Oliveira has grown as a striker, Holloway is still levels above on the feet. Holloway averages over seven significant strikes per minute, compared to Oliveira’s 3.35. Oliveira is better on the ground, but he will likely struggle to get the fight to the mat as Holloway has elite takedown defense. Holloway does possess finishing ability, with 14 career finishes, but my favorite play is taking him to win by decision at +200. Five of Holloway’s previous seven victories have come on the judges’ scorecards.

Reinier de Ridder Moneyline (+205)

Although Caio Borralho is talented, it is still surprising to see RDR as a +205 underdog in this matchup. Both fighters are coming off losses and are looking to get back in the win column. Borralho is the better striker in this contest, but de Ridder is more versatile and has the physical advantages.

RDR has a three-inch edge in height (6’4″ vs. 6’1″) and standing reach (78″ vs. 75″) over Borralho. In his last bout, de Ridder didn’t perform well. He was passive and wore down easily throughout the contest. RDR enters this fight in better shape and in good health. When he is at his best, RDR has proven he can compete with the best in divison as he did against Robert Whittaker. A key for de Ridder in this contest is defense, as Borralho excels when he moves forward and unloads a big output on the feet. If RDR can use his unique style to frustrate Borralho, he should be able to find success in this bout.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.