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Unrivaled Championship: Phantom vs. Mist prediction, pick for Wednesday 3/4/26

Unrivaled Championship: Phantom vs. Mist prediction, pick for Wednesday 3/4/26

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By: Meghan Townsley

After a thrilling semifinal round, Unrivaled is down to two teams: Phantom BC and Mist BC. On Wednesday, March 4, they’ll square off in what’s shaping up to be a competitive, high-energy Championship Game to decide the 2026 winner

On DraftKings Sportsbook, the Mist enter as 1.5-point favorites, with the total set at 140.5. Let’s break down the matchup and get into my predictions and picks for this winner-take-all showdown.


Phantom vs. Mist Prediction

The top-seeded Phantom and No. 2 Mist have looked like the class of the league all season, and now they’ll meet with the 2026 Unrivaled Championship on the line. Both survived very different semifinal tests Monday night, and those paths give insight into this matchup.

The Phantom took down the Vinyl 83-75, weathering a 30-point, eight-rebound outing from Dearica Hamby and doing it without Defensive Player of the Year Aliyah Boston. That’s depth. Kelsey Plum was electric, pouring in 31 points with six rebounds and five assists, while Tiffany Hayes added 19 of her own. Natasha Cloud chipped in 14 points and four assists off the bench, and Kiki Iriafen recorded a 14-point, 11-rebound double-double. The Phantom didn’t rely on one star, but instead, multiple players stepped up to fill the gap. With Plum as the headliner and a true deep-range threat, this team can score at every level.

The Mist’s semifinal vs. the Breeze was more dramatic. They opened in a 13-0 hole and struggled offensively early, with Allisha Gray and Breanna Stewart starting a combined 0-for-10. Still, this is a team built on shot-makers. Stewart finished with 23 points and eight boards, and Arike Ogunbowale delivered the moment of the postseason with a buzzer-beating three on her birthday to seal the 73-69 win. When the game tightened, the Mist leaned on elite isolation talent and late-game shot creation.

That’s the contrast: the Phantom’s balance and depth versus the Mist’s star power and clutch ability. If this turns into a half-court grind, Plum and the Phantom’s secondary scorers provide multiple counters. If it’s tight late, Ogunbowale and Stewart are more than comfortable taking, and making, the biggest shots on the floor.

Phantom vs. Mist Pick

It should be competitive throughout, but the Mist’s inconsistent efficiency Monday is hard to ignore. With more lineup flexibility and scoring depth, the edge goes to the Phantom to finish the job and take the crown.

Best Bet: Phantom +1.5 (-115)

How Can I Watch The 2026 Unrivaled Championship?

The 2026 Unrivaled Championship game takes place on Wednesday, March 4 in New York City at 9:30 P.M. ET and is available to watch on TNT or TruTV.

Sacramento roots with home base now in SoCal, Meghan is an enthusiastic and diligent sports fanatic. Football focused and former San Diego State Aztec, Meghan provides insight on the action on the gridiron as well as the WNBA and NBA. Light the Beam!
Disclaimer

All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.