The NBA wraps up Monday’s four-game slate with a Western Conference matchup between the LA Clippers and the Golden State Warriors at the Chase Center in San Francisco. If the season ended now, these teams would finish next to each other in the standings, and both would be part of the Play-In Tournament. Each side of the matchup has some interesting storylines to track the rest of the way, and each team has some strong player prop bets to build around. Let’s take a closer look at the matchup and find some Clippers at Warriors player prop bets that make sense this Monday night.
In the overall matchup, the Clippers are slight 1.5-point road favorites in what should be a very tight matchup. The point total is 215.5 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
The Warriors are 31-29 after losing on Saturday to the Lakers, and the Clippers are 28-31 after beating the Pelicans on Sunday. They’ll be finishing out their back-to-back on the road against the Warriors in a great way to close out the slate.
Since the Clippers are playing for the second day in a row, they haven’t issued an injury report yet, but the Warriors will remain without Steph Curry, Kristaps Porzingis and possibly Gary Payton II, who is questionable with an ankle injury.
Clippers at Warriors Best Prop Bets
Kris Dunn 5+ Assists (+128)
Dunn took an elbow to the head at the end of Sunday’s win and did not return, but coach Tyronn Lue stated Dunn was “good” following the injury, so he probably will be able to play on Monday. He was limited to just 22 minutes in the win but still chipped in four assists.
If he plays close to his normal minutes on Monday, he should have no problem going over this prop line, which comes at plus-money after yesterday’s down game.
Since James Harden’s trade, Dunn has stepped into a much more involved role as a creator. He is averaging only 3.6 assists per game on the season, but over the last 11 games, he is averaging 5.7 assists and has gone over this prop line in nine of those 11 games, with the only exceptions being a strange zero-assist outlier against the Magic and Sunday’s abbreviated outing.
If he’s clear to play and start as usual, he has a good chance to hand out at least five dimes on Monday night.
The wild card that is keeping this prop with such favorable odds is the debut of Darius Garland, who will be available for the first time since coming over in the Harden trade. He hasn’t played in six weeks and will be adjusting to the offense, so I think Dunn should still get to five assists even with Garland in the mix.
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Brandin Podziemski o6.5 Rebounds (+108)
Podziemski has been playing a more active role on the glass for the Warriors while they have been without Curry and Porzingis. Pat Spencer and De’Anthony Melton have been playing more time at point guard, allowing Podziemski to flex to the wing more.
Podziemski has pulled in at least seven rebounds in each of his last five games, including a pair of double-doubles against the Nuggets and Pelicans, when he hauled in 15 boards in each contest.
On Saturday, Podziemski had seven rebounds against the Lakers, going over this prop even though he only played 30 minutes and had just nine points on 4-for-12 shooting.
If this game is as competitive as the spread suggests, Podziemski will likely play a fuller role and should be able to get at least seven boards, based on his recent role. His shooting may still be a little shaky, but his recent hustle on the glass makes this plus-money prop a great one to jump in on.
Gui Santos o12.5 Points (-128)
Santos has been a huge contributor for the Warriors during this stretch without Curry, Jimmy Butler and Kristaps Porzingis (since his arrival). Santos earned a three-year, $15 million contract extension that he signed over the weekend, and he’ll continue to be a building block in the Warriors’ frontcourt after the trade that sent Jonathan Kuminga to Atlanta.
Santos is only averaging 6.8 points per game on the season, but he has gone over this prop line in 11 of his last 12 games, averaging 15.3 points in 28.9 minutes per game. He has started each of the last 10 games for Golden State, playing 30 minutes per game and contributing 15.1 points per game.
Even in a potentially tough matchup with Kawhi Leonard and the Clippers, Santos should get enough usage to get to at least 13 points, as the 23-year-old from Brazil continues his breakout second half of the season.
Bonus Parlay Pick: Bennedict Mathurin o4.5 Rebounds (-159)
If you’re building an SGP (Same Game Parlay) from this Monday night finale, adding in the over on Mathurin’s boards boosts the odds of this late parlay to a juicy +1000 for these four Clippers-Warriors bets.
Mathurin has at least five rebounds in five straight games, and he has averaged 6.0 rebounds per game in his seven games with the Clippers. Garland’s entry into the rotation shouldn’t hurt his rebounding at all, and if John Collins or Kawhi Leonard are out on the second night of the back-to-back, Mathurin would only step into more minutes and opportunities.
