With only 10 games remaining in the Premier League season, the stakes are rising with each passing contest. Everton are looking to take a shot at playing European football for the first time in an age, while Burnley are desperate to avoid relegation. Both sides have all the motivation in the world to pull three points from this match.
Everton is a -165 ML favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook. A Burnley upset is priced at +475 odds, with the draw at +300. The over/under for this game is set at 2.5 goals. Let’s get into a prediction and a pick for this matchup.
Everton vs. Burnley prediction, pick
Both teams had a ripper of a game over the weekend. Everton matched up with Newcastle, a tough draw, and it was tight all the way. The scenes in the last 10 minutes at Hill Dickinson Stadium were something to behold as Newcastle’s Jacob Murphy equalized in the late minutes, but Thierno Barry punched home the winner for Everton just moments later.
Burnley may have one-upped them. After going down 3-0 to Brentford in the first 35 minutes, they knotted things up by the 60th minute. A potential go-ahead goal for Burnley was ruled out by VAR and the Bees eventually took the lead in stoppage time. Burnley seemed to net the equalizer five minutes later, but it was once again nullified by VAR, leaving them with an agonizing 4-3 defeat. That makes their fight to climb out of the relegation zone all the more difficult.
Burnley need to gain eight points at minimum to get out of the danger zone. That’s a tall task with 10 games left. It’s now or never for the Clarets.
By all measures, Everton have had a successful season. They’re eighth in the table with 40 points, which puts them eight points back of Liverpool for a guaranteed Europa League spot. A strong finish to the season could put them in the Conference League, giving them a much-needed boost to next season’s outlook. The defense is always there, but the offense has to come along for the ride. With Jack Grealish out for the remainder of the season, they need to come together as a group.
Both teams have comparable attacks this year, meaning they have generally been inept. However, there is a serious gap in defense, with Burnley having conceded 23 more goals than Everton. Can the Toffees take advantage of that disparity? Or will Burnley keep it close enough to snag some points?
Even though the straight Moneyline is a bit steep, I don’t trust the Clarets’ attack to put significant pressure on Everton’s defense. The Toffees have found a way recently, and they’ll do so once again on Tuesday.
