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Barcelona vs. Atlético Madrid prediction, pick for Tuesday 3/3/26

Barcelona vs. Atlético Madrid prediction, pick for Tuesday 3/3/26

Published:

By: Ciaran Doyle

The Copa del Rey semi-final round continues on Tuesday as Atlético Madrid travels to take on Barcelona. Atlético were incredibly impressive in the first leg, coming out with a 4-0 victory. Can Barcelona pull off a miracle, or will Atlético coast into the final?

Barca are -195 favorites on the moneyline for this one on DraftKings Sportsbook, with a draw available at +400. Fancy an Atlético win in the 90 minutes? They are +425 on the moneyline.

Barcelona vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction, Pick

This bet can be found under the “Match Parlays” tab. Despite Barcelona being huge favorites on the moneyline, they are still +700 to advance on DraftKings Sportsbook, while Atlético are listed at -1400. The first leg for Barcelona has put them in a near-impossible situation. Although I do think they will win the second leg and close the gap, I think they have too much work left to do.

In recent games between these teams, the common theme has been goals galore. In the last five games between the sides, four or more goals have been scored in four of those matches. The results this season have been lopsided in either direction. Barcelona beat Atlético 3-1 in La Liga back in December, and then followed that up with a 4-0 loss in the first leg of this competition a few weeks ago. Barca have slightly edged it in terms of this matchup in recent games, winning three of the last five, drawing one and losing one.

Barca have been elite at home this season, winning all 13 of their home La Liga games. Although this is a different competition, I expect their solid home form to continue and for at least three goals to be scored in the game.

The Pick: Barcelona Win and Over 2.5 (-140)

Ciaran has been an editor for the DraftKings Network team since 2023. He graduated from the University of Arizona before attending Arizona State University for his master’s degree in sports journalism. Ciaran previously covered Phoenix Rising FC for Cronkite News before joining DraftKings. He is passionate about sports betting, and his biggest focus has always been on the NFL and soccer. You can find him on X at @Ciaran_Doyle7.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ciarandoyle77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.