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Prediction, pick for Santiago Luna vs. Angel Pacheco at UFC Mexico

Prediction, pick for Santiago Luna vs. Angel Pacheco at UFC Mexico

Published:

By: Cooper Albers

Undefeated bantamweight prospect Santiago Luna looks to stay perfect on Saturday night, when he takes on Angel Pacheco at UFC Mexico.

Luna (7–0, 1–0 UFC) will look to build off an emphatic first-round knockout against Quang Le in his UFC debut in September. Pacheco (7–3, 0–1 UFC) will attempt to bounce back from consecutive unanimous-decision losses, capped by a loss to Caolan Loughran in his first trip to the Octagon in March 2024.

Luna enters as a hefty  -625 moneyline favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook, while Pacheco sits as a +455 underdog. The total is set at 1.5 rounds. 

Luna vs. Pacheco Preview

Santiago Luna

At just 21 years old, Mexican prospect Santiago Luna is one of the youngest fighters on the UFC’s active roster. But he sure doesn’t fight like it. 

“Border Boy” boasts a 7–0 record with a 100% finish rate, flashing high fight IQ and a sound wrestling foundation — along with lightning-fast hands and thunderous power. 

His dynamic skillset was on full display in his UFC debut in September, when he sparked Quang Le just 2:48 into the first round.

In a relatively open 135-pound landscape, Luna has a chance to crack the division’s top 15 with another emphatic victory on Saturday night.

Angel Pacheco

Angel Pacheco’s momentum couldn’t be more different from his opponent’s. The Minnesota native returns to the Octagon for the first time since his UFC debut in March 2024, where he dropped a unanimous decision to Caolan Loughran. Now 34 and reeling from consecutive losses, Pacheco may be fighting for his future with the promotion on Saturday night. 

Still, the veteran remains a formidable opponent. Like Luna, he owns a 100% career finish rate — five knockouts and a pair of submissions. Pacheco blends high-volume striking with sound defensive grappling, though he often leaves his chin exposed. Across his last two fights — including an appearance on Dana White’s Contender Series and his UFC debut — he ate a whopping 344 significant strikes.

Luna vs. Pacheco Pick, Best Bet


The undefeated Luna appears poised to solidify his trajectory on Saturday night, taking on an aging opponent coming off consecutive losses and nearly two years out of the Octagon. “Border Boy” has seemingly deviated from the grappling aggression he showcased early in his career, now leaning into his strong boxing and raw power. 

While Pacheco’s granite chin could very well hold up, it wouldn’t be a surprise if Luna keeps his 100% finish rate intact with a knockout in Mexico City. 

Best Bet: Santiago Luna to Win By KO/TKO/DQ or Decision (-175)

Cooper is a Brooklyn-based writer who joined DraftKings in 2025. A recent graduate of Jay-Z’s Roc Nation School of Sports at Long Island University, he served as sports editor of the campus paper and lead sideline reporter for the men’s basketball team.
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