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Barcelona vs. Villarreal prediction, pick for Saturday 2/28/26

Barcelona vs. Villarreal prediction, pick for Saturday 2/28/26

Updated:

By: Ciaran Doyle

Matchweek 26 of La Liga has arrived as Villarreal travel to take on Barcelona in a game that sees first place take on third.

Barca are -330 favorites on the moneyline for this one on DraftKings Sportsbook, with a draw available at +550. Fancy a Villarreal upset? They are +650 to pick up three points.

Barcelona vs. Villarreal Prediction, Pick

This bet can be found under the “Match Parlays” tab. Despite this being a matchup between first and third place in the table, there is a huge gap between these teams. Barcelona are 10 points ahead of their opposition, have scored 20 more goals and conceded two fewer.

Barcelona recovered from a few shocking results last weekend to beat Levante 3-0 and reclaim their lead at the top of La Liga. The lead is only a single point, however, so every match is critical in the title race against Real Madrid.

Barcelona’s home form in La Liga this season has been impeccable. They have won all 12 of their home games and haven’t dropped a single point. If that continues through the rest of the season, it’s hard to imagine them not becoming champions. They’ve scored 37 times over those games, averaging out to just over three per game.

Villarreal presents a stiff challenge, but one Barcelona should be able to overcome. The recent history between these teams has been back and forth. Barcelona have won three of the last five La Liga matches between the teams, losing twice. The common theme has been goals, as four or more goals were scored in four of those games. Barcelona have scored the most goals in the league, while Villarreal have netted the third most.

Expect the hosts to collect the three points in a high-scoring affair.

The Pick: Barcelona Win and Over 3.5 (-115)

Ciaran has been an editor for the DraftKings Network team since 2023. He graduated from the University of Arizona before attending Arizona State University for his master’s degree in sports journalism. Ciaran previously covered Phoenix Rising FC for Cronkite News before joining DraftKings. He is passionate about sports betting, and his biggest focus has always been on the NFL and soccer. You can find him on X at @Ciaran_Doyle7.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ciarandoyle77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.