DKNetwork Logo DKNetwork Logo
Prediction, pick for Amir Albazi vs. Kyoji Horiguchi

Prediction, pick for Amir Albazi vs. Kyoji Horiguchi

Published:

By: Ryan Wohl

The co-main event of tonight’s UFC Fight Night features a Flyweight contest between No. 6 Amir Albazi vs. No. 8 Kyoji Horiguchi. Albazi is 17-2 with 14 finishes, but is making his first appearance tonight since November 2024. Horiguchi has a record of 35-5 with 21 finishes and is 7-1 in the UFC through two stints.

Check out my best bet for tonight’s Main Event between Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira.

Kyoji Horiguchi to win by decision (-130)

Before Albazi lost to Brandon Moreno, Albazi won his first five fights in the UFC. But after a long layoff, Albazi hasn’t won a fight since June 2023. Albazi is still the younger fighter in this contest by three years, as Horiguchi is 35. In November 2025, Kyoji Horiguchi made his UFC return after nine years away from the promotion. Horiguchi defeated Tagir Ulanbekov by submission, which was his first UFC win since November 2016. A little over two months after his last victory, Horiguchi is back and looking to continue his winning streak.

On DraftKings Sportsbook, the former Bellator and Rizin Champion is a -360 favorite with Albazi being a +285 underdog. On paper, Albazi has a five-inch reach advantage (68″ vs. 63″) and is taller (5’5″ vs. 5’4″). Including stats from Horiguchi’s first run in the UFC, he averages more significant takedowns per minute (3.64 vs. 2.72) and lands more takedowns per 15 minutes (1.80 vs. 1.39).

After his previous win, Horiguchi enters this fight with a ton of momentum, while the opposite is true for Albazi, who hasn’t fought in 15 months. Even though Horiguchi won his last fight by submission, his two previous wins were by decision. That is why my favorite play in this contest is Horiguchi to win by decision at -130.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.