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Prediction, pick for Alex Morono vs. Daniil Donchenko

Prediction, pick for Alex Morono vs. Daniil Donchenko

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By: Ryan Wohl

The final fight of tonight’s UFC Fight Night Prelims is a Welterweight bout between Alex Morono and Daniil Donchenko. Moreno is a 10-year UFC veteran and is 13-9 in the promotion. Meanwhile, Donchenko has a 13-2 record with 11 finishes at 24 years old. Donchenko knocked out Rodrigo Sezinando in the first round at Noche UFC in September 2025.

Check out my best bet for Alex Morono vs. Daniil Donchenko at tonight’s UFC Fight Night.

Over 1.5 Rounds (-105)

Donchenko has won six consecutive fights, with his last loss coming in October 2023. Throughout his career, Donchenko has been a finishing machine with 11 of his 13 wins being by knockout or submission. But now the promising prospect faces a long-time veteran in Morono. Morono has suffered three straight losses and is 2-5 in his last seven contests, and hasn’t won a fight since April 2024.

In this bout, both fighters are 5’11” with Moreno having a one-inch reach advantage (72″ vs. 71″). Since Moreno and Donchenko are primarily strikers, this fight will likely take place on the feet, which favors Donchenko.

Donchenko is a massive -850 favorite in this bout while Moreno is a +575 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook. The total rounds are set at 1.5, with the over at -105. Since Donchenko is -850 to win this fight and -330 to win by knockout or submission, let’s look at a different way to get in on the action for this bout.

Although Donchenko’s last two wins have come in the first round, 10 of his 15 career fights have lasted at least two rounds. Also, Moreno has only had one of his previous 10 fights end in the first round. Donchenko is supremely talented, but it would still be surprising if he could finish Moreno in the first five minutes.

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