The Patriots and Seahawks meet in Super Bowl LX on Sunday night at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California. Seattle is favored by 4.5 points on DraftKings Sportsbook, and the game total is set at 45.5 points.
Kenneth Walker is one of the top offensive players competing in the Big Game. Let’s take a look at his rushing outlook for the matchup.
Kenneth Walker O/U 70.5 Rushing Yards
With Zach Charbonnet done for the season with a torn ACL, the Seahawks are going to heavily depend on Walker in the Super Bowl. After Charbonnet went down in the Divisional Round, Walker had his best game of the season and handled 19 carries for 116 yards and three touchdowns.
However, in the two full games that Charbonnet has missed this season, Walker’s rushing efficiency has been suspect. While he found the end zone twice in Week 3 against the Saints, Walker turned 16 carries into just 38 yards. Then, in the NFC Championship win against the Rams, he picked up just 62 yards on 19 carries. He averaged a pathetic 2.8 yards per carry across those games, compared to 4.8 YPC with Charbonnet active.
Walker did out-carry George Holani 19 to 3 in the NFC Championship, and it’s safe to expect a similar split in the Super Bowl. Still, as we’ve seen in the two games without Charbonnet, high volume doesn’t always guarantee massive gains for Walker. While he’s a great running back, he may wear down without a strong counterpart in Seattle’s backfield.
Meanwhile, New England’s defense is peaking at the right time. The Patriots are allowing just 3.1 YPC in the playoffs, and they’ve only given up four rushes of 10 or more yards. They have also held 15 carries to zero or negative yards.
The most rushing yards New England has surrendered to a running back in this year’s postseason was 37 to RJ Harvey in the AFC Championship. Only four backs have cleared 70.5 rushing yards against the Pats all season.
Walker may be the best back New England has faced this postseason, but this 70.5-yard line feels a little too high. Expect him to fall short of this mark in Super Bowl 60.