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Prediction, pick for Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis at UFC 325

Prediction, pick for Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis at UFC 325

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By: Cooper Albers

It’s all going down in the Land Down Under. 

Top lightweight contenders collide on Saturday night, as No. 6-ranked Dan Hooker takes on No. 8 Benoit Saint Denis in the co-main event of UFC 325 in Sydney, Australia.

Hooker (24–13, 11 KOs, 7 SUB) has enjoyed a resurgent run in the twilight of his career, but looks to rebound from a submission loss to Arman Tsarukyan last November. Saint Denis (16–3, 5 KOs, 11 SUB), meanwhile, enters riding a three-fight winning streak — all by stoppage — punctuated by a blazing 16-second knockout of Beneil Dariush. 

Saint Denis enters as a -325 moneyline favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook, while Hooker sits as a +260 underdog. The total is set at 1.5 rounds. 

Hooker vs. Saint Denis Preview

Dan Hooker

Hooker, 35, has cemented himself as a lightweight legend — a promotional linchpin for more than a decade who has delivered countless classic battles with some of the division’s most formidable foes. But he’s still searching for that elusive UFC title shot. 

“The Hangman” came close in November, riding a three-fight win streak into a No. 1 contender bout with Arman Tsarukyan. But a second-round submission loss seemingly left the aging New Zealander with one final run at the 155-pound crown.

Still, Hooker remains one of the division’s most dangerous brawlers, averaging 4.89 significant strikes per minute at 48% accuracy and never shying away from a good old-fashioned slugfest. The veteran striker is no stranger to stifling rising contenders — edging out split-decision wins over Mateusz Gamrot and Jalin Turner — and will look to do the same against the surging Saint Denis. 

Benoit Saint Denis

It’s all in the nickname. Dubbed the “God of War,” the 30-year-old Benoit Saint Denis is a 155-pound bulldozer. The French southpaw, who made his UFC debut in Oct. 2021, boasts a 100% finish rate comprising five knockouts and 11 submissions. 

Saint Denis rebounded from a miserable 2024 with three straight wins in 2025, opening the run with a pair of second-round submission victories against Kyle Prepolec and promising newcomer Mauricio Ruffy. In November, he capped the surge by starching Beneil Dariush in just 16 seconds — tied for the sixth-fastest finish in division history. 

Saint Denis thrives in chaos, and he ambushes his opponents with unrelenting pressure. He blends standout striking with elite grappling, landing 5.07 significant strikes per minute, while also averaging over four takedowns per three-round bout — always threatening with constant submission attempts. 

Hooker vs. Saint Denis Pick, Best Bet

While fortune favors the bold, it’s typically not a good idea to get locked in a cage with the “God of War.” Hooker won’t cower away from a slugfest, but Saint Denis should outmatch him on the feet and suffocate him with relentless grappling. Every one of Saint Denis’ victories has come by stoppage, and there’s little reason to expect a different result on Saturday night.

Best Bet: Benoit Saint Denis to Win by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission (-130)

Cooper is a Brooklyn-based writer who joined DraftKings in 2025. A recent graduate of Jay-Z’s Roc Nation School of Sports at Long Island University, he served as sports editor of the campus paper and lead sideline reporter for the men’s basketball team.
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