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NBA Best Bets: Top Timberwolves vs. Mavericks prop bet for Wednesday 1/28/26

NBA Best Bets: Top Timberwolves vs. Mavericks prop bet for Wednesday 1/28/26

Published:

By: Keagan Smith

In the NBA’s Western Conference on Wednesday night, the Dallas Mavericks host the Minnesota Timberwolves. While these teams are on opposite sides of the spectrum as one works to get over the postseason hump and the other remains in the early stages of a rebuild, there’s plenty of intrigue as Anthony Edwards takes on a fellow No. 1 pick, Cooper Flagg.

On DraftKings Sportsbook, Minnesota is a 7.5-point favorite with -265 odds to win on the Moneyline. The game total is set at 228.5 combined points.

Here’s the top Timberwolves vs. Mavericks prop bet on DraftKings Sportsbook for Wednesday’s game.


Best Timberwolves vs. Mavericks player prop bet

Anthony Edwards over 3.5 made threes (+131)

This has been one of my favorite props over the last week, and until it stops hitting, I’m not looking elsewhere. Anthony Edwards is in the midst of the best scoring season of his career with 29.7 PPG on 49.9%/41.0%/79.3% shooting splits. The 24-year-old superstar keeps pouring on the points on a nightly basis, dropping 30+ in three of his last four outings… one of which was a 55-ball on January 17. While he missed the Timberwolves’ most recent game against the Warriors due to injury management for a lingering toe issue, he’s back in the lineup tonight and should be a full-go against a 19-27 Mavericks unit.

This month, Edwards is on an absolute scorcher. In 10 contests, he’s hit 41 of his 93 three-point attempts, an average of 4.1 makes per game while connecting on those shots at a 44.1% rate. Looking towards his recent stat lines, he’s knocked down at least four three-pointers in three of his last four outings and seven of his last nine. In January as a whole, he’s gone over tonight’s line in seven of 10 total chances.

There is admittedly a little bit of risk involved tonight. Dallas is far from a good basketball team at the moment, and one may think that means it has one of the league’s worst defenses. While the Mavericks do sit 21st in PPG allowed at 116.5, they’re actually quite strong against long-range shots. This team holds opponents to only a 33.1% mark from beyond the arc, the NBA’s lowest, and gives up just 11.8 made threes per game (second-fewest) on 35.7 attempts (seventh).

That does make me hesitate for a moment, but only slightly. The Mavericks are still quite decimated on the injury report with talent like Anthony Davis, Dante Exum and Dereck Lively II all sidelined for various periods of time, and Cooper Flagg and Klay Thompson are both questionable. With the Timberwolves beginning to break out of a recent slump and already possessing a far more capable rotation, this game has blowout written all over it. Given his recent hot streak, Edwards should get his numbers tonight and knock in at least four threes before hitting the bench early.

Keagan is a Texas-based editor and analyst who believes sports are the true eighth wonder of the world. After starting out in local media, he’s provided coverage for DraftKings Network since 2024. He gravitates toward football, hoops and hockey, but is happy to watch and write about any game that involves a ball or a puck. While his own athletic career ended in middle school, he’s also an avid fantasy player with a soft spot for dynasty formats, spending countless hours crafting the ever-elusive perfect squad.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.