The Broncos will host the Patriots in the AFC Championship on Sunday afternoon, with kickoff scheduled for 3:00 p.m. ET. On DraftKings Sportsbook, New England is a 4.5-point favorite, and the game’s total is set at O/U 42.5 points.
Below, I’ll go over my favorite Rhamondre Stevenson prop to consider from this contest.
Best Rhamondre Stevenson Prop Bet on DraftKings Sportsbook
Rhamondre Stevenson Over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Stevenson has averaged 13 carries for 61.5 rushing yards across both postseason games, while out-snapping TreVeyon Henderson, 80 to 51. While the Broncos’ defense fields a lethal pass rush and secondary, the run defense has been susceptible. On the season, Denver ranked eighth in rushing EPA; since Week 10, it ranked 14th and just let James Cook run wild in last week’s Divisional Round game.
Believe it or not, New England’s run game was more efficient than Buffalo’s during the back half of the season. The Patriots ranked 25th in rushing EPA on the season, but since Week 10, that ranking improved to third in the NFL. With how good Denver’s pass rush is, and how often Drake Maye gets sacked, New England should lean on Stevenson and the run game to sustain drives. Stevenson has logged 10+ carries in both postseason games, and across seven games in which he did so during the regular season, he cleared this line four times.
