The Bills and Broncos are the first matchup of the 2026 NFL Divisional Round. The game kicks off at 4:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jan. 17.
Denver is a 1.5-point favorite and -112 on the moneyline, while Buffalo is -108 on DraftKings Sportsbook. The game total is set at 46.5 points.
Here are my top Josh Allen prop bets for the Bills vs. Broncos Divisional Round matchup on Saturday.
Best Josh Allen Prop Bets
Allen had another solid year, and he stepped up majorly in the Wild Card matchup against the Jaguars. He completed 28-of-35 passes for 273 yards and one touchdown, while also running for 33 yards and two touchdowns.
The Jaguars have a good defense, so this isn’t a mild performance. Allen proved yet again why he’s one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. He’ll have an even greater test this week, however, as the Broncos feature a top five defense.
Denver’s run and pass defense are both excellent, but it faces much more rushes than passes on average across the league. The Broncos’ defense allows the 27th most pass attempts compared to the third most carries. That being said, there’s a smaller sample size against the Broncos’ pass defense compared to other defenses in the NFL.
Both forms of defense affect Allen as he’s just as capable of a rusher as he is a passer. However, he should throw more against Denver. He’s coming off a game against Jacksonville, who is stellar against the run, in which he threw 35 times. The Broncos are a much better pass defense than the Jaguars, but it’s more about volume for this prop bet.
Allen will clear 29.5 pass attempts in the Divisional Round, as he’ll be the driving force for the Bills in their victory.