We have two games on Divisional Sunday. In the AFC side of the playoff bracket, the No. 2 seed New England Patriots host the No. 5 seed Houston Texans. For the NFC side, the No. 2 seed Chicago Bears host the No. 5 seed Los Angeles Rams.
Per DraftKings Sportsbook, New England is a three-point home favorite over Houston, with the total set at 40.5 points. Los Angeles is a 3.5-point road favorite over Chicago, with the total sitting at 48.5 points.
Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $1.5M Sunday Special [$500K to 1st] (Sun Only).
Quarterback
Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears ($6,600)
Stafford has thrown at least two touchdowns in all but two games this season, and those came in the first six weeks. Over the last two weeks, Stafford has thrown three and four touchdowns, finishing with 26.2 and 26.7 FPTS. He’s put up over 20 FPTS in all but seven games. The Bears defense has posted the 17th-highest EPA per dropback, but that’s mostly due to the league-leading 23 interceptions. The unit has allowed the fifth-most touchdowns (32) and a 66.6 completion percentage. The pressure rate is 22nd while the 35 sacks are tied for the 12th-most.
Other Options – Caleb Williams ($6,100)
Running Back
Kyren Williams, Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears ($6,600)
There was once a time when Williams was a true bellcow, garnering 80% to 90% of the snaps. Those days are long gone, as Blake Corum has proven to be a capable backup and is playing around 30% to 40% of the snaps. That said, the matchup is too good not to consider Williams here. Chicago has allowed 5.0 yards per carry this season, the third-most in the NFL. The Rams offense should be able to move the ball on this defense, providing plenty of scoring opportunities, and Williams has been garnering most of the red zone opportunities of late. This game has the highest total of the entire weekend at 48.5, so fantasy goodies should be provided.
Other Options – D’Andre Swift ($6,000), Woody Marks ($5,900), Rhamondre Stevenson ($5,800)
Wide Receiver
Puka Nacua, Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears ($9,000)
I swear, I’m not a Rams homer. The Rams are very good on offense with talent all over, but what makes the offense so enticing for fantasy is the concentrated nature of the production. Nacua was fourth in targets despite missing a little over a game. He was only one of two players to haul in over 1,700 yards on the season. Over the last six games, Nacua has finished with over 30 FPTS in four with a high of 49.5 FPTS, garnering double-digit targets in every contest. He’s going to get fed and produce. It’s just a matter of how much.
Other Options – Davante Adams ($6,500), Luther Burden III ($4,700), Christian Kirk ($4,100)
Tight End
Dalton Schultz, Houston Texans at New England Patriots ($4,200)
Schultz is second on the team with 106 targets. Nico Collins suffered a concussion last week and did not practice on Thursday, so his status is up in the air. There’s a chance that Schultz becomes the defacto number one target for C.J. Stroud this weekend. The upside is limited because Schultz won’t run away from defenders but he had seven games with double-digit FPTS this season with a high of 21.6 FPTS. New England allowed the 13th-most FPTS to tight ends on average during the season.
Other Options – Colston Loveland ($5,500), Hunter Henry ($4,500), Colby Parkinson ($3,700)
Defense/Special Teams
Rams DST at Chicago Bears ($3,000)
The Rams DST is fourth in pressure rate and the 47 sacks are tied for the sixth-most. The unit has racked up 26 takeaways, the fifth-most. I think the Rams offense can put up points in this one, which would force the Bears to drop back more than they probably want to. That increases the chances for sacks and turnovers. The Rams DST has five games with double-digit FPTS.
Other Options – Patriots DST ($3,600)
