The Indiana Hoosiers defeated the Oregon Ducks by a final score of 56–22 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Coming in as the spread favorite, Indiana covered with ease, and the total flew over the closing line.
Betting Line Movement
DraftKings Sportsbook closed with Indiana as -3.5 favorites and the total set at 48.5 points. Moneyline: Indiana -185 / Oregon +154.
Final Score: Indiana 56, Oregon 22
Spread Result: ✅ — Indiana covered -3.5
Total Result: ✅ — Over 48.5 cashed
Moneyline: ✅ — Indiana ML cashed (-185)
Player Prop Bets: Hits and Misses
✅ Fernando Mendoza — Over 1.5 Passing TDs — Smashed it with 5 TD passes on 17/20 (85%).
❌ Fernando Mendoza — Over 224.5 Passing Yards — Fell short with 177 yards.
✅ Elijah Sarratt — Over 5.5 Receptions — Landed 7 catches for 75 yards and 2 TDs.
✅ Elijah Sarratt — Anytime TD — Found the end zone twice.
✅ Kaelon Black — Anytime TD — Scored 2 rushing TDs as Indiana powered the run game.
✅ Dante Moore — Over 1.5 Passing TDs — Hit 2 TD passes for Oregon.
Public Betting Trends (DraftKings Betting Splits)
Spread
✅ Indiana -3.5: 75% bets / 77% handle
❌ Oregon +3.5: 25% bets / 23% handle
Moneyline
✅ Indiana ML: 73% bets / 69% handle
❌ Oregon ML: 27% bets / 31% handle
Total Points
✅ Over 48.5: 67% bets / 73% handle
❌ Under 48.5: 33% bets / 27% handle
Trends Analysis
Public money leaned heavily to Indiana and the Over — and both sides cashed comfortably. This aligned with the preview’s market read that Indiana’s efficiency and defensive havoc could control the game; the Hoosiers led 35–7 at half, generated 10 TFLs with 3 sacks, forced 3 Oregon turnovers, and never allowed a backdoor sweat. Where the preview missed was the total: despite projecting a slower, Under-leaning game script (projected 27–20), Indiana’s mistake-free offense (0 turnovers) and a blocked punt leading to a short-field TD pushed this into a clear Over. The takeaway: the public’s favorite/Over combo was on the right side, and Indiana’s havoc translated directly to points.
Post Match Box Score Notes
- Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza: 17/20, 177 yards, 5 TD, 0 INT — ultra-efficient.
- Indiana rushing: 39 carries, 186 yards, 2 TD; Kaelon Black 63 yards, 2 TD.
- Elijah Sarratt: 7-75-2 receiving — a featured target in the red zone.
- Oregon: Dante Moore 285 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT; Dierre Hill Jr. broke a 71-yard run (86 yards total).
- Special teams: Indiana 8/8 on XPs; blocked punt set up a TD.
- Halftime: Indiana led 35–7.
Looking Ahead
Indiana advances to the National Championship with elite balance and havoc-driven defense intact. Bettors should monitor:
- Mendoza’s TD prop momentum after a 5-TD night and 85% completion rate.
- Indiana’s defense continuing to generate TFLs/sacks and turnovers (10 TFLs, 3 sacks, 3 takeaways vs. Oregon).
- Opponents’ team totals and QB turnover props against Indiana’s disruptive front.