There are 24 NBA teams scheduled to take the court Wednesday, featuring plenty of star power and intriguing matchups even amid some notable injury developments. Before you place any bets, here is one NBA parlay you can tail as the games tip off.
Using DraftKings’ NBA Consistency Sheets, I built out a parlay of player props for Wednesday night’s action. The tool features players’ averages, win percentages, home-road splits and a brand-new matchup grade, all of which are adjustable for different sample sizes and prop markets. Balancing each of those factors against each other, here’s a breakdown of all four legs featuring insights from the sheet:
Nets F Michael Porter Jr.
Pick: Michael Porter Jr. O 24.5 points (-120)
Michael Porter Jr., who is averaging 25.9 points per game this season, has gone over 24.5 in 67% of his games this year. That includes an 80% win percentage over his last five, plus an 80% win percentage over his last 10.
The Nets’ leading scorer has an A+ season matchup grade on his hands Wednesday in the form of the Orlando Magic. Porter has gone over 24.5 points in two of his three games against A- matchups or easier. His only under from that sample did come against the Magic, although that was on the road and this next matchup is in Brooklyn. He also scored 24 points that night in Orlando, just barely falling short of Wednesday’s line.
Knicks F Mikal Bridges
Pick: Mikal Bridges O 1.5 three-pointers (-182)
Mikal Bridges has been a knock-down, high-volume shooter from long range this season, hitting 40.7% of his 5.7 three-point attempts per game. That has Bridges at 2.3 three-pointers made a night, clearing the over on 1.5 makes in 75% of his appearances. Bridges has also hit multiple triples in 80% of his last five games and 80% of his last 10.
DraftKings has the Knicks’ opponent, the Los Angeles Clippers, pegged at a B+ season matchup grade in terms of small forwards’ three-point output. Bridges has gone over 1.5 threes in 11 of his 12 games against B+ matchups or easier. His lone under was all the way back in the season-opener.
Lakers F Jake LaRavia
Pick: Jake LaRavia U 20.5 points + rebounds + assists (-123)
On the whole this season, LaRavia is averaging just 15.8 combined points, rebounds and assists per game. He has gone under 20.5 PRA in 71% of his games, although that under rate has dipped to 60% over his last five and 10 games alike.
That being said, his two most recent overs were against the Memphis Grizzlies, who carry an A+ season matchup grade. The San Antonio Spurs, meanwhile, present LaRavia with a D matchup grade in this market. LaRavia has gone under in 16 of his 18 games against B- matchups or harder.
Nuggets F Aaron Gordon
Pick: Aaron Gordon O 14.5 points (-101)
Aaron Gordon is averaging 18.9 points per game this season, clearing the over on 14.5 points in 71% of his appearances. That win percentage is sitting at 80% over his last five and 80% over his last 10, although those samples include the one point he scored at the Rockets back on November 21 before he left with a right hamstring strain. Gordon returned from a six-week injury absence this past weekend, scoring 20 points in 21 minutes off the bench.
Gordon is technically questionable for Wednesday’s contest against the Celtics, although he was already held out for a maintenance day on Monday. Boston stands as a B- matchup for Gordon, per DraftKings. The veteran forward has scored at least 15 points in five of his six games against B- matchups or easier. Plus, with Nikola Jokic out again, Gordon could continue to take on a heavy scoring load.
