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Atlético Madrid vs. Real Madrid prediction, pick for Thursday 1/8/26

Atlético Madrid vs. Real Madrid prediction, pick for Thursday 1/8/26

Published:

By: Ciaran Doyle

We are down to three remaining teams in the Spanish Super Cup. Barcelona dominated their semi-final with a 5-0 win over Athletic Club. The winner of Thursday’s Madrid derby between Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid will meet them in the Super Cup final.

Real Madrid are slight +135 favorites on the moneyline for this one on DraftKings Sportsbook, with a draw available at +240. Fancy an Atlético Madrid win in the 90 minutes? They are +175 on the moneyline.

Atlético Madrid vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Pick

If this game ends in a draw, it will go to a penalty shootout to determine who will advance to the final. I am backing the home team, Atlético Madrid, to find a way to advance and get themselves in that final against Barcelona.

Atlético have won each of the last two games between these sides, both of which were played at the Metropolitano Stadium. They beat their crosstown rivals 1-0 in the second leg of a Champions League tie at the end of last season before bowing out in a penalty shootout. At the start of this season, they beat Real Madrid 5-2 in La Liga. The three games before those two resulted in one Real Madrid win and two draws.

Atlético have done well against their rivals at home in recent games, and I’m backing that to continue on Thursday. They are undefeated in their last five home games against Real Madrid going back to 2023, with three of those being outright wins. Atlético enter this game undefeated in each of their last five games in all competitions and will not need any motivation to play to their potential in this derby.

The Pick: Atlético Madrid To Advance (+100)

Ciaran has been an editor for the DraftKings Network team since 2023. He graduated from the University of Arizona before attending Arizona State University for his master’s degree in sports journalism. Ciaran previously covered Phoenix Rising FC for Cronkite News before joining DraftKings. He is passionate about sports betting, and his biggest focus has always been on the NFL and soccer. You can find him on X at @Ciaran_Doyle7.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ciarandoyle77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.