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Stefon Diggs best prop bet for Patriots vs. Dolphins on Sunday 1/4/26

Stefon Diggs best prop bet for Patriots vs. Dolphins on Sunday 1/4/26

Miami Dolphins Sports Betting Picks NFL DraftKings Sportsbook Insights

Published:

By: Alex Hunter

The Patriots are hosting the Dolphins on Sunday. On DraftKings Sportsbook, New England is favored by 13.5 points and this game carries a total of 45.5 points.

Below, I have featured my favorite Stefon Diggs prop to consider from this contest.

Best Stefon Diggs Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook

Stefon Diggs O 12.5 First Quarter Receiving Yards

Diggs should be highly motivated in Sunday’s regular-season finale vs. the Dolphins. The wideout has some contract incentives on the line, as eight catches will earn him $500,000 and 30 receiving yards will earn him $500,000 as well.

Diggs is leading the Patriots with a 21.5% target share this season and he has been very active to begin games recently, producing at least 13 first quarter receiving yards in four of his last five. Diggs is facing a Miami defense that he met in Week 2 and in that matchup, he caught both of his targets in the first quarter for 18 yards.

This season, the Dolphins are allowing the seventh-most yards per pass (7.0). Additionally, Miami is allowing the highest completion percentage to players lined up in the slot (76.9%), which bodes very well for Diggs, as 52.7% of his routes have come from the slot this season.

Drake Maye feeding Diggs early makes a ton of sense Sunday, as the Patriots may look to rest their starters in the second half of this regular-season finale and Diggs should clear 12.5 receiving yards in the first quarter.

Alex Hunter
Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.