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Liverpool vs. Leeds United prediction, pick for Thursday 1/1/26

Liverpool vs. Leeds United prediction, pick for Thursday 1/1/26

Published:

By: Charlie Cummings

How about kicking off the New Year with some Premier League action? It’s the opening day of 2026, which means the January transfer window is open as well. That drama adds an extra layer to this contest between Liverpool and Leeds United, two clubs who badly need three points for very different reasons.

Liverpool is a -190 favorite on the moneyline for this contest on DraftKings Sportsbook. Let’s dive into a preview, prediction and pick for this Liverpool vs. Leeds United fixture.


Liverpool vs. Leeds United Prediction, Pick

Liverpool are finally on the charge. It was a rough start to their title defense, falling uncharacteristically into the middle of the table. But they’ve found their form over the past month and haven’t lost in seven matches across the EPL and the Champions League. They remain 13 points behind Arsenal at the top of the table, but a win on Thursday puts them ten points back at the halfway mark of the season. Larger deficits have been overcome.

Leeds has different motivations. With 20 points from 18 matches, they’re only six points clear of the relegation zone. Any points from this match would be welcome as they seek to stay up and finish the season on a positive note. Luckily for them, they’re playing with confidence after a dramatic 3-3 draw against Liverpool at Elland Road just a few weeks ago.

Playing a high-scoring draw gives them a lot of courage for this one. Leeds know they can get past the Liverpool defense; if they focus on the defense, this could be three points. But it’s tough to pull points twice from the same matchup, and Liverpool have found new confidence since that dramatic draw. It’s going to be another win for Liverpool, giving them boundless confidence going into 2026.

Best Bet: Liverpool Win and Over 2.5 (+105)

Charlie Cummings is a Bay Area-born writer living in Denver. A basketball junkie, he specializes in NBA and WNBA content, but also dabbles in soccer, baseball, football and hockey. You can find him on Twitter @klaytheist11 where he’s posting through it on a daily basis.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.