The Atlanta Falcons will host the Los Angeles Rams on Monday Night Football to conclude the NFL’s Week 17 slate. Matthew Stafford and company are looking to finish the season on a high note and propel themselves into the postseason with momentum.
Stafford is the odds-on MVP favorite with -230 odds on DraftKings Sportsbook. Drake Maye sits right behind him at +180, and a strong performance from Stafford on MNF would go a long way toward staking his claim for the prestigious award.
The Rams are seven-point favorites with -340 moneyline odds on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Falcons sit as +270 underdogs, and the game total is set at 48.5 points.
There are plenty of ways to get involved in the action beyond backing a side or total. This article will look at my top Matthew Stafford prop bets ahead of tonight’s Week 17 Monday Night Football matchup.
Best Matthew Stafford Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook
Matthew Stafford Over 270.5 Passing Yards (-113)
It’s been artful watching Matthew Stafford carve up opposing defenses this season, and Atlanta doesn’t appear capable of keeping him in check. The former Super Bowl champion has completed 65.7% of his passes for 4,179 yards and an NFL-leading 40 passing touchdowns. He also leads the NFL in interception rate and adjusted net yards per pass attempt, serving as the engine of the NFL’s top scoring offense.
Stafford is averaging 278.6 passing yards per game this season and has topped 270 in nine of his 15 outings, including each of his last three. He seemingly continues to get better each time out, dishing out a season-high 457 passing yards just last week.
Looking at the matchup, Atlanta has not proven to be capable of slowing down this caliber of offensive attack. The Falcons rank 20th in points allowed, 14th in total yards conceded, and 13th in net yards per pass attempt. Atlanta has caught fire on the offensive end, though, coming off back-to-back wins and scoring 24+ points in four of its last five games. Expect this to force LA to be aggressive on offense.
The Rams should be comfortable leaning on their pass-first offense that has racked up the NFL’s second-most passing yards. Count on Stafford to stay hot and air it out throughout the matchup. The modest 270.5 passing-yard line is too low given Stafford’s current form, and all signs point to him clearing the threshold for the 10th time this season.
Matthew Stafford 3+ Passing Touchdowns (+140)
While the yardage is impressive in its own right, Stafford’s touchdown production headlines his season. He has posted a league-leading 40 passing scores, finding the end zone at least once in every single game this season. Stafford has tallied two or more touchdowns in 13 of 15 games and at least three scores in eight matchups this season. This includes a pair of four-touchdown performances and five passing scores against the Jaguars.
The Falcons’ defense has had some ups and downs this season, but their pass defense has been a consistent concern. They rank 20th in the league in both opponent points and passing touchdowns allowed. Atlanta has allowed at least 24 points in nine games this season. Sam Darnold and Bryce Young each tallied three passing touchdowns against the Falcons this year, while Tua Tagovailoa recorded four passing scores. This will be a huge concern as they attempt to slow down the NFL’s top scoring offense.
Stafford is showing no signs of slowing down in the later stages of the season, dishing out at least three touchdowns in six of his last nine games. While the future Hall of Famer has done his best to downplay the importance of the MVP race, Monday night is a great chance for him to put forth another impressive stat line and win over voters.
Los Angeles is a pass-first offense in general, a strategy that should continue against Atlanta. Getting +140 odds for something he has accomplished in 53.3% of the games so far this season is great value. Count on Stafford to record at least three passing touchdowns for the ninth time this season.
