Sunday presents a six-game NBA slate and below are three of my favorite NBA player prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Sunday’s slate.
Top NBA prop bet picks
Kel’el Ware O 20.5 Points + Rebounds (-105)
With Tyler Herro (toe) sidelined, the Heat have opted for a bigger lineup in their last two games, with Ware starting alongside Bam Adebayo and Ware has been very productive with the starting job, posting 22 points and 12 rebounds vs. the Nets and 24 points and 14 rebounds vs. the Celtics. During this time, the 21-year-old is logging 28.9 minutes per game, and he is handling a 17.7% usage rate. Furthermore, Ware is shooting 70% from the field.
Herro will remain sidelined Sunday vs. the Knicks, and both Andrew Wiggins (back) and Davion Mitchell (ankle) are questionable. Ware should continue to start, and if that is the case, he should have zero issues exceeding 20.5 PR, regardless of facing a New York defense that ranks 12th in rating this season. In the 18 games Ware has started this season, he is averaging 13.1 points and 11.1 rebounds per game.
De’Aaron Fox U 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-124)
While Fox is in a great spot vs. the Wizards, who rank dead last in defensive rating this season, two big factors are working against him. First off, a blowout is very possible for the Spurs, as Washington is playing its second game in two nights, and San Antonio is a huge 15.5-point favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook. Secondly, the Spurs are at full strength with Victor Wembanyama healthy again, which results in a decreased role for Fox.
In the seven games Fox has played with Wembanyama active this season, Fox is averaging 26.1 PRA per game. The guard has fallen short of 29.5 PRA in six of these eight games, and Fox’s usage rate decreases a notable 4.8 percentage points with Wembanyama active.
DeMar DeRozan U 19.5 Points (-123)
The Kings will likely continue to be without Zach LaVine (ankle), resulting in an increased usage rate for DeRozan, but the veteran hasn’t been very successful with LaVine sidelined this season. DeRozan is averaging 17.6 PPG in the five starts he has made sans LaVine, and DeRozan has stayed under 19.5 points in three of these five contests.
The forward is playing his second game in two nights on Sunday, and he is facing the Rockets, who rank fifth in defensive rating this season. Sacramento’s 105.5-point implied team total on DraftKings Sportsbook is the lowest of the 12 NBA teams in action, and 19.5 points is far too high for DeRozan in this spot.
