Matthew Stafford leads the league with 4,179 passing yards while Dak Prescott has attempted the most passes (522). Drake Maye has the highest completion percentage at 70.9% while Stafford has thrown the most touchdowns (40). Tua Tagovailoa has thrown the most interceptions (15) while Justin Herbert, Cam Ward and Geno Smith have taken the most sacks (49). Stafford has completed the most passes over 20 yards (64) while Sam Darnold leads the league with 12 completed passes over 40 yards. Finally, Stafford has the longest completion at 88 yards.
Here are my favorite QB/WR stacks for Week 16.
Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $2.25M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st].
5. Aaron Rodgers ($5,000) & DK Metcalf ($5,400), Steelers at Lions
The Steelers want to play it close to the vest if possible, running the ball, playing good defense and having Rodgers methodically move the chains with short-to-intermediate passes. The 6.03 aDOT for Rodgers is 46th amongst all quarterbacks this season. He has attempted fewer than 30 passes five times.
I don’t think the Steelers will be able to deploy that gameplan this week because the Lions will likely be putting up points, which would force the Steelers into aggression to keep pace. Rodgers has three games with over 20 FPTS and two games with four touchdowns.
For most of his career, Metcalf had an aDOT in the 12 to 13 area. This season, it’s a career-low 10.4. But he’s the alpha in the passing game by a wide margin for the Steelers. The 90 targets are the most with running back Kenneth Gainwell second with 65. If Pittsburgh has to be more air-centric, then Metcalf will no doubt be peppered with targets.
4. Kirk Cousins ($4,800) & Drake London ($7,000), Falcons at Cardinals
Cousins was pretty awful in his first four starts. Last week, though, he went 30-of-44 for 373 yards and three touchdowns, good for 29.9 FPTS. It would be foolish to expect the same production this week, but it’s also probably folly to think he is as bad as he was in the prior starts.
This game has a decent total of 48.5 with a tight spread of three points, so a competitive affair with plenty of scoring is expected. Jacoby Brissett has been consistently good since being named the starter and Cousins looks to be more settled now.
London has missed the last four games due to injury, but he’s expected back for this one. The 94 targets are still second to only Kyle Pitts, who has garnered 97 targets on the season. There is some uncertainty with this connection because London has not played alongside Cousins much this season, but I think there’s a good chance he feeds London as he’s locked onto top receivers in the past.
3. Jared Goff ($6,300) & Amon-Ra St. Brown ($8,400), Lions vs. Steelers
This game will have no weather concerns and be played on the fast turf in Detroit. With a total of 52.5, points are expected to be scored. Goff has put up double-digit FPTS in every contest this season with five over 20 FPTS and a high of 37 FPTS. I don’t think the Lions get pushed by Pittsburgh enough for a ceiling outcome, but I think Rodgers will do enough.
St. Brown is fifth in the NFL with 135 targets despite missing a game. He’s put up at least 20 FPTS seven times with two games over 40 FPTS.
2. Dak Prescott ($6,700) & CeeDee Lamb ($7,800), Cowboys vs. Chargers
Prescott leads the league in pass attempts, so you know he’s going to be slinging it around. Now, the Chargers have only allowed 12 passing touchdowns on the season, the fewest in the NFL while intercepting 17 passes and racking up 40 sacks. I never said it will be easy. But Prescott is playing at such a high level right now and the Chargers will likely put up some points to keep him aggressive. DraftKings Sportsbook has this game with a total of 49.5 and a tight spread of 1.5 points.
Lamb is second on the team with 99 targets, but that’s because he missed four games due to injury. In the last three games, Lamb has garnered nine, eight and 10 targets, racking up over 100 yards in each contest and finishing with at least 20 FPTS in all.
1. Joe Burrow ($7,000) & Ja’Marr Chase ($7,200), Bengals at Dolphins
Burrow had a poor game last week, throwing two interceptions without a touchdown, good for 7.5 FPTS. I wouldn’t make too much of it because it was the second time in three weeks that he faced the Ravens. In the first meeting, he put up 19.2 FPTS against Baltimore. The second meeting between division rivals often skews towards offensive difficulty. I like Burrow to bounce back in a big way against Miami, as the Dolphins are allowing a league-leading 70.9% completion percentage with 22 passing touchdowns. Minkah Fitzpatrick is also out, making a depleted secondary into a porous one for Miami.
Chase leads the league with 155 targets. Despite the poor Burrow game last week, Chase still finished with 26.2 FPTS as he hauled in 10 of 16 targets for 132 yards. Chase has gone over 20 FPTS eight times this season with a high of 41.1 FPTS. Higgins is still recovering from a concussion, although he was a full participant in Friday’s practice. Chase can still put up a ceiling game with Higgins in the lineup, but if he’s out, that just increases the probability.
