I want to say that this is the last real Thursday Night Football game of the season, despite the fact that there are three games scheduled for next Thursday. But that’s Christmas, right? That’s TNF in date only. Honestly, I’m surprised how passionately I feel about this take.
Anyway, if you’re like me and do consider this the final Thursday Night Football game of 2025, what a way to go out. It’s not just a matchup between the two winningest teams in the NFC, but it’s a fight for a division crown — which will also likely be the difference in a first-round bye or a Wild Card tilt on the road. The stakes could not be higher for this matchup of the Rams and the Seahawks.
Both teams will want to get off to a quick start, yet only one team can score the first touchdown. Which player will find pay dirt? Let’s take a look at the odds on the DraftKings Sportsbook and make a couple picks.
Rams at Seahawks First Touchdown Scorer Prop Bets
Colby Parkinson First Touchdown Scorer (+1100)
Davante Adams (hamstring) is not expected to play in tonight’s contest, which opens up a massive opportunity for a different Rams’ receiver to have an impact near the end zone. Seriously, the type of monopoly that Adams had on red zone targets was jaw-dropping. Part of this is due to Los Angeles’ explosive offense always having successful drives, yet Adams enters Week 16 leading the NFL in both targets inside the opponents’ 20-yard line (31) and, as you might expect through correlation, receiving touchdowns (14). Here’s the thing you might not know: The Rams somehow have a second player ranking inside the top 10 in red zone targets. Colby Parkinson has 18 such opportunities in the passing game, good for a tie for sixth-most in football with Ja’Marr Chase and Rashee Rice. 14 of those targets have come in the past six weeks — a span of time where Parkinson has found pay dirt on six occasions. The tight end should only see more action with Adams sidelined, and he’s a great bet in not only the first touchdown scorer market, but also the anytime touchdown scorer market at +210.
Cooper Kupp First Touchdown Scorer (+1800)
The thing you need to know about the Rams is that they do not allow that many rushing touchdowns. In fact, at just 0.4 per game, Los Angeles allows the fewest opponent rushing scores of any team in the NFL. Conversely, a league-high 75.0% of touchdowns against the Rams have come through the air — so if you’re going to back a Seahawks’ skill-player to claim the first TD, you’re going to want to seek out a pass-catcher. Cooper Kupp probably isn’t the one that first came to mind, as the 32-year-old has been a tertiary aerial weapon in the one-man show that has been Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+600). However, for as far removed as Kupp’s 16-touchdown 2021 campaign feels, the veteran remains a fixture in Seattle’s goal line attack and his long odds are tempting because of that role. The in Seahawks’ past three games alone, Kupp has seen a team-best five red zone targets, one of which he converted into a touchdown versus the Falcons in Week 14. We all know Kupp will be extra motivated to score in a matchup with his old team, too.
