Week 15 features an AFC East clash with massive playoff implications between the Bills and Patriots. New England has won 10 in a row, and a big day from TreVeyon Henderson on the ground would put them in a great position to get a win and make it 11 straight.
The Bills are 1.5-point favorites for this game, with the Patriots +100 underdogs on the moneyline. The points total is set at O/U 49.5 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Below is my favorite Henderson prop bet on DraftKings Sportsbook for Sunday’s game.
Best TreVeyon Henderson Prop Bet on DraftKings Sportsbook
Rhamondre Stevenson had control of this backfield earlier in the season. He then suffered an injury at the end of October and missed about a month of action. That opened the door for Henderson, and he took full advantage.
Stevenson has been back in the lineup for the last two contests; but Henderson has received 29 carries over that span to Stevenson’s 18. The latter did get one more carry than Henderson in their last matchup against the Giants, but I’m not sure that’s enough to convince me that Stevenson has regained his position as the main back.
In each of his last six games since that Stevenson injury against the Browns in October, Henderson has received double-digit carries and gone over this total on every occasion. Over that span, the former Ohio State Buckeye is averaging just over 78 rushing yards per contest.
Regardless of who gets more touches, this over should be in play because of how bad the Bills are against the run. Buffalo ranks 28th in the NFL in that statistic, allowing an average of 135.2 yards per game. The Bills are the second-best passing defense in the NFL, so the plan of attack for New England should be simple.
Expect Henderson to cruise over this total for the seventh straight game.
