The Buccaneers are hosting the Falcons for Thursday Night Football. DraftKings is offering some huge Showdown contests for this matchup and below, I dive into three of my favorite DFS options for this slate on DraftKings.
Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL Showdown $1.25M Thursday Night Showdown [$300K to 1st] (ATL @ TB)
QB, Baker Mayfield, $15,000 CPT, $10,000 FLEX
Mayfield has been lackluster as of late, but tonight, he gets Mike Evans (collarbone) back. This is huge news for Mayfield, as he and Emeka Egbuka’s chemistry has been troublesome recently. Evans is one of the most reliable receivers in the entire league. In the three full games that he and Mayfield have played together this season, Mayfield is averaging 20.1 FPTS per game — including 22.58 FPTS vs. the Falcons in Week 1 — compared to the 16.0 FPTS in contests without him.
Atlanta is a subpar matchup, as it is giving up the 12th-fewest yards per pass this season (6.4). Still, the Buccaneers carry a healthy 24.5-point implied team total on DraftKings Sportsbook. Mayfield is a safe bet for around 20 FPTS in this must-win matchup for Tampa Bay.
RB, Bijan Robinson, $16,800 CPT, $11,200 FLEX
Robinson is by far the highest projected player in this game, and constructing a Showdown lineup without him would be foolish. When he faced the Buccaneers in Week 1, Robinson went off for 27.4 FPTS. The Texas product is amassing 21.9 FPTS per game this season, making him the fifth-highest-scoring skill player in fantasy football.
Robinson’s role is massive, with him averaging 16.5 carries per game — including 26 red-zone attempts — while logging 77.8% of the snaps. In the passing game, Robinson is handling a 17.8% target share, which ranks third among backs, and a 72% route rate. Not only does Robinson have tremendous upside as a rusher, but he should flourish as a receiver tonight. The Buccaneers are allowing the most receiving yards to running backs this season (701).
WR, Dylan Drummond, $3,000 CPT, $2,000 FLEX
Drake London (knee) will miss his fourth-straight game tonight, and Drummond is an excellent punt play to attack in London’s absence. With London sidelined for the last three weeks, Drummond has scored 4.8, 1.3, and 5.1 FPTS, in that order, as he is handling a solid role as secondary receiver.
During this stretch, Drummond is running a route on 53% of his team’s dropbacks, while garnering a target on 22% of those routes — second only to Kyle Pitts. The tight end is dealing with a knee injury himself and listed questionable to play, and while Pitts is likely to suit up, Drummond could still see a few extra targets come his way.
The Buccaneers are giving up the sixth-most yards per pass attempt this season (7.1), and Drummond should score five or more FPTS tonight — a strong return at his cheap salary.