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NFL Same Game Parlay Trends to Watch in Falcons vs. Buccaneers Thursday Night Football 12/11/25

NFL Same Game Parlay Trends to Watch in Falcons vs. Buccaneers Thursday Night Football 12/11/25

Published:

By: Sam Connon

Heading into the home stretch of the 2025 NFL season, DraftKings has launched a brand new tool to help you build the ultimate parlay. Start by selecting one pick – an “Anchor” bet – and choose how many legs you want. Then, the Free Trending Parlay Picks Optimizer will give you a custom parlay based on games in which the Anchor bet has previously won.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons are set to face off on Thursday Night Football in Week 15 with the former fighting for a playoff spot and the latter looking to play spoiler. The Buccaneers only won by three when the two teams faced off in Week 1, and now Tampa Bay has lost four of its last five. They are fresh off a home divisional loss to the Saints, too, so dropping one to the Falcons wouldn’t be unbelievable. As for Atlanta, they are on a 1-7 skid. Still, the Falcons lost two of those games in overtime, one by one point and one by three points. Plus, they just picked up a road divisional win in New Orleans in Week 12.

If you feel good about the Falcons pulling off the upset in Tampa, here is a fresh NFL SGP Anchor via the Free Trending Parlay Picks Optimizer.

  • Atlanta Falcons Moneyline (+215)
    • Atlanta Falcons First Team to Score (+105)
    • Bijan Robinson 70+ alt rushing yards (-135)
    • Bijan Robinson 25+ alt receiving yards (-297)
    • David Sills V u21.5 receiving yards (-110)
    • David Sills V u2.5 receptions (-144)
    • Tyler Allgeier 25+ alt rushing yards (-162)
    • Kyle Pitts u5.5 Receptions (-108)

Combined Odds: +3700

Creating a parlay with the appropriate angles on the specific totals listed above would have hit in all four of the Falcons’ wins this season – even the one when Drake London was out, as he is again in Week 15. So, instead of simply picking Falcons moneyline at +215, you can ride these additional trends on on Thursday vs. the Buccaneers.

On the other side of the contest, Tampa Bay is a 5.5-point favorite. If you think the Buccaneers will cover, the Free Trending Parlay Picks Optimizer has run the numbers on that pick’s past success as an NFL SGP Anchor.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.5 (-108)
    • Baker Mayfield u0.5 interceptions thrown (-133)
    • Payne Durham u12.5 receiving yards (-114)
    • Payne Durham u1.5 receptions (-117)

Combined Odds: +490

Creating a parlay with the appropriate angles on the specific totals listed above would have hit each of the last five times the Buccaneers won by six or more points this season. Keep these trends in mind if you pick Tampa Bay to cover Thursday night.


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Sam joined DraftKings in 2025 following five years with Sports Illustrated’s “On SI” network. He has covered the UCLA Bruins, New England Patriots, Tampa Bay Rays, MLB, MiLB and NBA, on top of earning awards from the Society of Professional Journalists and College Media Association during his time as a student at UCLA.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.