The first on-campus playoff rematch is live on the board, with No. 6 Ole Miss hosting No. 11 Tulane and opening odds already posted at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Ole Miss vs. Tulane Odds
The Ole Miss–Tulane opener is exactly what a 6-vs-11 campus playoff game should look like on the board: SEC hammer priced like a near certainty, but just enough respect baked in for the upstart. Ole Miss opens around -16.5 at home, total 55.5, with the Rebels a massive -950 moneyline favorite and Tulane +625. That’s the market saying Ole Miss wins this close to nine times out of ten, but also that Tulane’s season isn’t some cute accident.
Narratively, it’s a perfect sequel. Ole Miss trucked Tulane 45–10 back in September, a game that looked like a throwaway at the time and slowly mutated into a résumé gem as the Green Wave kept winning and eventually grabbed the American title and an auto-bid. Now we get the rematch, same helmets, but with actual playoff stakes and Tulane arriving as one of the standard-bearers for the “little guys” in the new format.
For Ole Miss, this line reflects an 11–1 SEC power that never really stumbled after the Lane Kiffin era ended. Pete Golding’s first season in full control produced a grown-up team: explosive enough to scare anyone, physical enough up front that bookmakers have zero qualms hanging a two-plus-score spread against a league champion. This is their first trip into the playoff structure, and the pricing says bookmakers expect Oxford to look like an ambush more than a coronation.
Tulane comes in with the “prove it” tag the Group of Five always wears. Jon Sumrall turned the program into a snarling, high-energy operation, grabbed the AAC, and now heads off to Florida with a playoff cameo on his way out. That +16.5 reflects a team that earned its way here but still faces a talent gap in the trenches and depth. The +625 moneyline’s roughly 14% implied chance feels about right for a squad that doesn’t have to be the better team, just the right kind of annoying for four quarters.
From a betting perspective, the question is whether we’re re-rating Tulane enough from that first meeting. September Ole Miss rolled; December Tulane is older, more confident, more battle-tested. Motivation also cuts both ways: Ole Miss gets the first home playoff game in school history, while Tulane gets to play entirely free with its coach headed to Gainesville and nothing to lose.
My early instinct? If I’m touching a side, I’d rather hold Tulane +16.5 than lay north of two touchdowns in a playoff rematch where the dog knows exactly how badly it got embarrassed the first time. The total at 55.5 feels pretty fair out of the gate—high enough to respect Ole Miss’ scoring ceiling, low enough to nod at Tulane’s defensive backbone—so I’d wait and see if early action pushes it into an overreaction before jumping in.
