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Prediction, pick for Iwo Baraniewski vs. Ibo Aslan at UFC 323

Prediction, pick for Iwo Baraniewski vs. Ibo Aslan at UFC 323

Published:

By: Ryan Wohl

UFC debutant Iwo Baraniewski is taking on Ibo Aslan in a three-round Light Heavyweight contest on the UFC 323 Early Prelims. Baraniewski recently earned a UFC contract on Dana White’s Contender Series in September when he knocked out Mahamed Aly in the first round. Aslan is 2-2 in the UFC and is coming off two consecutive losses in 2025.

Here is my best bet for Iwo Baraniewski vs. Ibo Aslan at UFC 323 on the Early Prelims.

Iwo Baraniewski To Win By KO/TKO/DQ (-145)

Aslan began his MMA career 14-1 in his first 15 fights, with all 14 wins coming by knockout. But this year, he has had a tough time in the Octagon, as he lost to Ion Cutelaba and Billy Elekana. Baraniewski only started his MMA career a little over two years ago and has quickly made an impact. In the last 23 months, Baraniewski has recorded five first-round finishes.

Baraniewski is a -198 favorite in this contest while Aslan is the underdog at +164 on DraftKings Sportsbook. The over/under for this bout is set at 1.5 rounds, with the under at -195. Aslan is +215 to pick up a finish while Baraniewski is -145 to win this fight by KO/TKO/DQ or submission.

Aslan has a four-inch reach advantage while being three inches taller. But Aslan has lacked the urgency and aggressiveness needed to beat tough competition in the UFC lately. If Baraniewski begins this fight as quickly as he usually does, he has all the tools to add another win by finish to his resume.

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