DKNetwork Logo DKNetwork Logo
TE Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em Picks: Fantasy Football Tight Ends to Start or Sit in Week 14

TE Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em Picks: Fantasy Football Tight Ends to Start or Sit in Week 14

Updated:

By: Dan Johnson

Week 14 tight end play feels like the position is testifying under oath. Russell Wilson is spending the Giants’ bye in a CBS studio instead of a huddle, a demoted starter smiling through analysis while Jaxson Dart keeps his job. C.J. Stroud just shook off concussion rust and walks into a Texans-Chiefs game that might decide whether Patrick Mahomes even sees January, with Houston’s defense sitting at the top of every yard and point table. Cleveland is sticking with Shedeur Sanders for another start, less out of comfort than curiosity, letting a fifth-round rookie learn on the fly while fantasy managers decide if his tight ends are even playable noise. And over all of it hangs the Kelce question: talking heads are literally slapping “downgrade” next to his name for this Texans matchup, and Week 14 TE rankings read more like a referendum than a formality. Through that December lens, three tight ends on this slate have earned a real Week 14 green light, and two names, reputation or not, belong on your bench.

Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more fantasy football advice, as well as plenty of NFL and college football betting goodies.

Start ‘Em

Kyle Pitts, Atlanta Falcons (Seattle Seahawks)

Kyle Pitts is the kind of start that makes you feel like you’re cheating the algorithm. Over Weeks 9 through 13 he has 28 targets, 17 catches and 197 yards, but the raw line hides the profile. He has run 151 routes in that span, giving you 1.30 yards per route run, and he owns the deepest average depth of target in this tight end pool at 9.64 yards. This is not a safety-valve role. This is a wide receiver welded onto a tight end slot.

The usage map is ridiculous. He is on the field for about 54 snaps per game, with roughly 47% of his snaps in the slot or out wide and 53% inline. That split lets Atlanta dictate matchups instead of begging for them. On third and fourth down he has four catches for 45 yards and two conversions on nine targets. When trailing, he has eight catches for 81 yards on 11 targets, exactly when your fantasy lineup needs a pulse.

The efficiency is still there even without touchdowns. Pitts sits at +0.46 EPA per target, with an explosive play rate around 23.5%, four receptions of at least 15 yards in this window. Now he gets Seattle, one of the softest tight end matchups in the league: about 0.54 EPA per target allowed, a 77.8% catch rate surrendered to tight ends and 11.4 yards per reception. That is a defense begging for seam shots and deep crossers. You are not streaming here. You are starting a volume hog in a cheat-code matchup.

Colby Parkinson, Los Angeles Rams (vs. Arizona Cardinals)

Colby Parkinson is the tight end version of found money, and Week 14 is when you cash it. With Tyler Higbee on injured reserve, Parkinson has slid into a full-time role and detonated efficiency models. Over the last five weeks he has 18 targets, 16 catches and 133 yards, but the real tell is the rate: 2.08 yards per route run and an 88.9% catch rate. That is wide-receiver-level precision from a six-foot-seven red-zone alien.

The scoring profile is exactly what you chase in December. Parkinson owns three touchdowns on those 18 targets, with nine red-zone looks and a 33.3% red-zone touchdown rate. His +0.76 EPA per target and 7.19 yards after the catch per reception say he is not just falling into the end zone; he is actually juicing drives. He has run 64 routes, played heavy snaps inline on roughly 86% of plays and still gets schemed into high-leverage space. When the Rams throw on critical downs, he is not a decoy. He has two catches for 21 yards on third and fourth down, with a conversion baked in, and he stays on the field for both run and pass, logging 29 pass-block snaps and 91 run-block snaps without allowing a single pressure.

Now he walks into Arizona, one of the league’s most generous matchups against tight ends: about 0.47 EPA per target allowed, an 81.5% catch rate surrendered and 11.86 yards per reception to the position. That is a defense that loses tight ends in space. In a must-win fantasy week, you lean into the role, the red zone and the matchup. Start Parkinson with intent.

Brenton Strange, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. Indianapolis Colts)

Brenton Strange is the streamer that stops feeling like a streamer the second you look under the hood. Since returning from injury he has eight catches for 138 yards and a touchdown on nine targets, including a career-high 93 yards on five grabs in Week 12 and a 21-yard score in Week 13. That is not background noise; that is a tight end quietly becoming a primary read.

Zoom out to the full season and the profile gets even louder. Strange has 28 receptions for 342 yards and a touchdown on 178 routes, good for 12.2 yards per catch and 1.92 yards per route run. He is catching about 85% of his targets and drawing one on roughly 19% of the routes he runs. That is a real target rate in an offense that lives in three-wide sets; Jacksonville sits over 66% three-receiver usage with Liam Coen and Grant Udinski leaning hard into 11 personnel.

Now layer in the matchup. The Colts have allowed 79 catches for 865 yards and five touchdowns to tight ends, which shakes out to roughly 9.8 fantasy points per game and lands them top-six in points allowed to the position. Multiple national pieces are calling them a “tight end funnel” in all but name. Strange is operating as Trevor Lawrence’s middle-field fixer, with intermediate aDOT around eight yards and enough yards after catch juice to turn seams into explosives. This is the exact blend you hunt in Week 14: ascending usage, sticky efficiency and a defense bleeding tight end production. You start Strange like a top-eight option, not a desperation dart.

Sit ‘Em

Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. Houston Texans)

Travis Kelce is still a name that bends lineups, but Week 14 asks if the name is doing more work than the numbers. Through 2025 he sits at 59 catches for 719 yards and five touchdowns, about five grabs and 60 yards per game, a strong season but no longer the old break your week profile. The recent stretch backs that up: over his past few games he has 28 catches for 344 yards and three scores on 38 targets, good for 10.9 PPR points per game. That is a mid-range TE1 floor, not an untouchable ceiling.

Now drop that into Houston. The Texans are a problem for tight ends in every fantasy grid that matters. They have allowed just 51 catches for 473 yards and four touchdowns to tight ends across 12 games, roughly 4.3 catches, 39.4 yards and 0.3 touchdowns per game. That translates to about 5.8 standard and 7.8 PPR fantasy points per game, which puts them in the bottom tier of matchups at the position, a defense analysts are grouping with the Eagles and Bills as spots to avoid when possible.

Add in the broader context: Houston is sitting near the top of the league in both points and yards allowed, living as a top-five pass defense by most measures and leaning on a deep, versatile front that makes every Mahomes dropback a negotiation. Kelce’s projection around 11 PPR points this week bakes in his name and red-zone equity more than the matchup. In shallow leagues or on stacked rosters, that is exactly where you can steal leverage: sit Kelce for one of your explosive, clean-matchup tight ends and let Houston’s defense suppress someone else’s floor instead of yours.

Cade Otton, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. New Orleans Saints)

Over Weeks 9 through 13 Cade Otton has 26 targets, 17 catches and 140 yards, a 65.4% catch rate with no touchdowns. Your own sheet has him sitting at minus-0.66 EPA per target, which means his routes are actively dragging drives instead of extending them. The yardage profile is flat: barely over eight yards per catch, no real explosive rate, nothing that tilts a matchup.

The usage doesn’t save him. He is getting work, but it is low-octane work, and Tampa Bay is not scheming him as a red-zone closer. Zero scores on this sample, and just two red-zone targets all year, is a brutal signal in December. When a tight end lives that close to the line of scrimmage without touchdowns, you are basically starting a fullback in disguise.

Now you throw him at New Orleans, one of the absolute worst draws for tight ends. The Saints are allowing minus-0.10 EPA per target to the position, with a 72.7% catch rate that sounds friendly until you see the rest: only 11.08 yards per reception, just 33 targets in this stretch and one touchdown allowed. They squeeze everything between the hashes, rally and tackle, and force coordinators to beat them outside. That is the exact opposite of what you want for a low-aDOT tight end already sitting on negative efficiency. In Week 14, you do not talk yourself into Otton. You find literally any pathway to upside instead and leave this usage sinkhole on your bench.

Dan Johnson has been an editor, writer, and analyst for DraftKings and DraftKings Network since 2024. He’s previously held editorial posts at The Paris Review, Macmillan Publishers, Bedford/St. Martin’s Press, ASSIGNMENT Magazine, and FantasySixPack. You can find his various editorial work & writing (sports-related and non-) at all of the above.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is thegreatdansby9) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.