The final UFC PPV of 2025 is here! UFC 323 takes place on Saturday, December 6, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Two title fights are scheduled for this card, with Merab Dvalishvili defending his Bantamweight title against No. 3 Petr Yan and Alexandre Pantoja vs. No. 1 Joshua Van for the Flyweight title in the co-main event. This is the final UFC PPV airing live on ESPN.
Here are my three best bets for Saturday’s UFC 323 PPV.
Merab Dvalishvili -9.5 (-105)
Dvalishvili beat Yan by a unanimous decision in their first bout, with all three judges scoring it 50-45. Since then, Dvalishvili has won five straight fights, with four of them coming in a title bout. Yan is currently on a three-fight winning streak. Even though he has already had an excellent year, Dvalishvili is still hungry to finish the year strong and become the first fighter in UFC history with four title defenses in a single year.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, Dvalishvili is a -410 favorite with Yan being a +320 underdog in this fight. Since Dvalishvili dominated Yan in their first contest, getting him -9.5 at -105 seems like the best way to back the champion. Dvalishvili’s last win against Cory Sandhagen was scored 49-45, 49-45, and 49-46. With Dvalishvili continuing to improve in each fight, there is a good chance that the second meeting between these two will go similarly to how the first one did.
Pantoja vs. Van to Go the Distance (+110)
Alexandre Pantoja has beaten his last two opponents by submission, but had three victories by decision before that. His opponent, Van, has shown his power and tremendous striking in the UFC but has won four of his last five fights by decision.
Even though Van is 24, he can be Pantoja’s most formidable opponent during his title reign. Also, Pantoja hasn’t won three consecutive fights by finish since 2011. With that said, getting this fight to go the distance at +110 is good value, with Pantoja at -238 to pick up the victory.
Brandon Moreno Moneyline (+105)
Brandon Moreno has won two straight fights since suffering back-to-back losses to Pantoja and Brandon Royval. He is facing Tatsuro Taira, who has a 17-1 record at 25. After suffering his first career defeat to Royval, Taria bounced back with a second-round submission against HyunSung Park in August.
Taira is an impressive young fighter, but it is still surprising to see the former champion as an underdog. Moreno has fought and beaten many elite fighters in the past and has all the tools to do so against Taria at UFC 323. Taria has the advantage on the ground, landing 3.21 takedowns per 15 minutes, but Moreno has a 64 percent takedown defense.
On the feet, Moreno averages more significant strikes per minute (3.96 vs. 2.87) while being better defensively. If Moreno can control the pace of this contest while not allowing Taira to implement his game plan, he has a good chance to pull off the upset. You can get Moreno to win this fight at +105 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
