Thursday Night Football features a potentially decisive matchup in the NFC playoff race, as the Detroit Lions host the Dallas Cowboys at Ford Field.
Both the Lions (7–5, 3rd NFC North) and Cowboys (6–5–1, 2nd NFC East) are on the cusp of a playoff spot and can’t afford to lose many more games down the stretch, if any. Detroit looks to rebound from a Thanksgiving Day loss to the Green Bay Packers, while Dallas aims to build on a three-game winning streak capped by a Turkey Day triumph over the Kansas City Chiefs.
For the Cowboys, surging quarterback Dak Prescott will continue utilizing every tool at his disposal, from the star receiver duo of CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens to standout tight end Jake Ferguson.
Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Detroit enters as a three-point home favorite, while Dallas sits as a +140 underdog. The game’s total is set at 54.5 points.
Ahead of the Thursday Night Football matchup, here’s my favorite George Pickens prop bet on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Jake Ferguson Prop Bet for Cowboys vs. Lions
Best Bet: Jake Ferguson 5+ Receptions (-132)
Even after Dallas added another star receiver to the target mix, Jake Ferguson continues to shine. The fourth-year tight end has garnered 83 targets for 70 receptions and seven touchdowns — all of which rank second on the Cowboys behind offseason trade acquisition George Pickens.
Not only is he a top receiving target in Dallas — he’s also one of the league’s best at his position. Among TEs, Ferguson trails only Arizona’s Trey McBride for the NFL lead with targets, receptions, and touchdowns.
Ferguson has corralled five or more receptions in nine of 12 games this season, including three of his last four matchups. He established a new career-high in Week 3 when he gathered 13 of his 14 targets against the Chicago Bears.
While Detroit has been tough on tight ends this season, some of the league’s more well-rounded players at the position have found ways to get open. Kansas City’s Travis Kelce and Baltimore’s Mark Andrews both garnered six receptions against the Lions, and Tampa Bay’s Cade Otton logged seven in their house.
Boosted by Dak Prescott’s recent surge — throwing for 320+ yards in back-to-back games — count on Ferguson to follow suit and field five or more receptions against the Lions on Thursday Night Football.